Akshay Kumar’s Singh Is Bling releases in theatres tomorrow and like every other week, it’s time for our IndicineFBO first day box office prediction and also a more detailed prediction for the first film in the last quarter of 2015.
Factors in favour of Singh Is Bling
- It’s as good as a solo release for Singh Is Bling on Gandhi Jayanti holiday as the other release is Irrfan Khan’s Talvar, which is a word-of-mouth film. More often than not, a big holiday advantage is around 30-35%.
- Officially, Singh Is Bling is not a sequel to Akshay’s 2008 film ‘Singh Is King’ which took a record opening at the box office. But the recall value is likely to positively impact the opening day collections of Singh Is Bling.
- Akshay is a huge star in North India and Singh Is Bling holds tremendous appeal in circuits where he commands a strong following.
Factors that could work against Singh Is Bling
- It’ll be Akshay’s 4th release this year. None of his films have been runaway hits at the box office and his last release, Brothers, was received very poorly. Singh Is Bling arrives less than 50 days after the Brothers debacle, which could affect the business of his latest release.
- For some unknown reason, the comedy genre hasn’t been performing too well in the last few years. On-screen madness worked a few years ago, but not anymore. Having said that, there hasn’t been a good comedy film in years now and if Singh Is Bling is a well made film, it should find its audience. Also, when it comes to comic timing and onscreen buffoonery, it simply cannot get better than Akshay Kumar.
- Prabhu Deva last directed Action Jackson, which was rejected by the audience when it released last year.
Like most of his films, Akshay will be fighting a lone battle once again at the box office. The music album hasn’t quite gained the popularity that it was expected to (atleast there are no chartbusters like Teri Ore or Jee Karda from Singh Is King) and the lead heroine isn’t too popular either. Akshay is the lone crowd puller.
Moving on, Gandhi Jayanti in the last couple of years has been good for the industry. The year-on-year growth in business has been huge. While Singh Is Bling is unlikely to continue the upward trend, it remains to be seen if it can match or beat the business of Besharam in 2013.
| Year of Release | Film | Screen Count | Net Opening (Gandhi Jayanti) |
| 2013 | Besharam | 3400 | 21.3 cr |
| 2014 | Bang Bang | 3250 | 27.5 cr |
| Haider | 1250 | 6.1 cr |
#IndicineFBO: We expect Singh Is Bling to collect Rs 18.6 crore on Day 1.
| Movie | Prediction | Official | |
| Tevar | 6.5 | 7.05 cr | + 8% |
| Alone | 4 | 3.50 cr | - 12% |
| Hawaizaada | 1.25 | 0.6 cr | - 52% |
| Khamoshiyan | 1.75 | 1.92 cr | + 9% |
| Baby | 8.5 | 9.30 cr | + 9% |
| Dolly Ki Doli | 1.6 | 1.75 cr | + 9% |
| Shamitabh | 4.0 | 3.5 cr | - 12% |
| Roy | 8.5 | 10.4 | + 22% |
| Badlapur | 6.5 | 7 cr | + 7% |
| Dum Laga Ke Haisha | 1.25 | 1.1 | - 12% |
| Ab Tak Chhappan 2 | 1.1 | 1.25 | + 13% |
| NH10 | 2.75 | 3.35 | + 22% |
| Detective Byomkesh Bakshy | 4.5 | 4.25 | - 5% |
| Ek Paheli Leela | 5.25 | 5.30 | + 1% |
| Mr X | 4.2 | 4.5 | + 7% |
| Margarita With A Straw | 0.2 | 0.23 | + 1% |
| Gabbar Is Back | 13 | 13.05 | 0% |
| Piku | 5.5 | 5.32 | - 3% |
| Bombay Velvet | 9.5 | 5.2 | - 45% |
| Tanu Weds Manu Returns | 7.05 | 8.85 | + 25% |
| Welcome To Karachi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0% |
| Dil Dhadakne Do | 9.5 | 10.53 | + 11% |
| Hamari Adhuri Kahani | 5.75 | 5.04 | - 12% |
| ABCD 2 | 12.5 | 14.3 | + 14% |
| Bajrangi Bhaijaan | 30.4 | 27.25 | - 10% |
| Drishyam | 5.25 | 5.3 | + 1% |
| Bangistan | 2.5 | 1.1 | - 56% |
| Brothers | 15.5 | 15.2 | - 2% |
| All Is Well | 3.1 | 2.9 | - 6% |
| Manjhi | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0% |
| Phantom | 7.6 | 8.46 | 11% |
| Welcome Back | 11.5 | 14.35 | + 24% |
| Hero | 7.5 | 6.85 | - 8% |
| Katti Batti | 4.6 | 5.28 | - 14% |
| Calendar Girls | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0% |
| Kis Kisko Pyaar Karoon | 4.5 | 10.15 | + 125% |
| Singh Is Bling | 18.6 | 20.67 | +11% |
| Talvar | 3.3 | 3.0 | -9% |
| Jazbaa | 4.5 | 4.23 | -6% |
| Pyaar Ka Punchnama 2 | 3.3 | 6.80 | + 103% |
| Shaandaar | 14.7 | 13.1 | -11% |
| Prem Ratan Dhan Payo | 43.6 | 41.75 | -4% |
| Tamasha | 11.7 | 10.87 | 7% |
| Hate Story 3 | 9.4 | 9.72 | 3% |
| Dilwale | 25.2 | 21 | - 16% |
| Bajirao Mastani | 11.5 | 12.8 | + 11% |
Singh Is Bling Box Office Predictions
IF VERY GOOD (excellent word-of-mouth)
- Day 1 – 20 cr
- Day 2 - 15 cr
- Day 3 - 18 cr (Sunday)
- Weekend – 53 cr
- Week 1 – 85 cr
- Final – 120 crore plus
IF AVERAGE (mixed response)
- Day 1 – 19
- Day 2 - 14 cr
- Day 3 - 15 cr (Sunday)
- Weekend - 50 cr
- Week 1 – 75 cr
- Final - 100 crore
IF BAD (worst case scenario)
- Day 1 – 18 cr
- Day 2 - 12 cr
- Day 3 – 12 (Sunday)
- Weekend – 44 cr
- Week 1 – 65 cr
- Final - 80 crore
all the best Akshay sir
-From a Die Hard Salman Fan
2 million Views and Counting WITHIN 17 HOURS
Bhai You just Rock! I am Talking About PRDP trailer
talvar has good wom already .I’m planning to spend some money here!! SIB has no takers 12 cr ore is safe prediction…I will not put very heavy bet on it ..even the martian has good wom anything but masala fare for me.. that is why kapils movie has also backfired
indicine please post 1 st day collection of puli in india
Let’s hope it crosses 100 cr . But 20 cr opening is looking impossible .
18 cr is of course achievable .
@indicine
We want review of PRDP trailer
It faillleddd on expectations
Itzzz an averageee trailer
Songs are like set in 90sss
Trailer is confused in itself only
The movie is targeted to special audience
After long such movie for B C centers.
I think they will enjoy and it will be great for them
But this type of a movie can’t do more than 100 cr.
So 100 is limit and it’s great if the movie will able to do 100 cr.
This Christmas :
Maratha warrior vs MarathaMandir
Next Eid (2016) :
SULTAN vs Baniye ki kanjossi aur (chaddi) Banyan ki Daring !!!!!!!!
Too much fun !!!!!!
Good Movie then Welcome back..!
I am a die hard srk fan but i truely feel its foolish to compare him to the SALMAN KHAN … who is in a differnt league altogether… Bajrangi Bhaijaan collected 630crs worldwide with Bahubali effecting collections .. or else maybe 700crs in first phase release… nd its unfair that srkians tell that bb succeeded coz of harshali or nawaz…. SRK was at his peak before a few years but not now… now its difficult for him to even give 500cr worldwide grosser… PRDP dont be shocked if it doubles The collections of SRK’s highest grosser…. SIB may cross 100cr !!!!!!
@Romance
bro, screens r not yet confirm of BM n DILWALE
don’t forget BM’s budget is 120cr, u r saying it got max.2000 screens, can they satisfy spending that much money n got only 2000 screens only, if they got 2500-3000 screens then 15cr+ is possible for BM !!!
some one said it is 4th flop of akshay in dis year but god knows how said dat?????
BABY- HIT (budget-60 cr box office collection world wide-125cr)
GABBAR IS BACK- HIT (budget – 72cr box office collection world wide- 133 cr)
BROTHERS -AVG ( WITH 122 CR GROSS BUSINESS WORLD WIDE only 12 days)
NOW SIB……18CR ABOVE ON 1ND DAY……
plz kuch bakne se pahle kuch pata kar lo…………..
Yes we are Back with a bashhh. More than 20cr is diffnately on the card. Hater bhaago warna Gabar Aajega
It movie is a blockbuster and will be,
because it movie is the best- m* best****
I lov akshay.. Kya superhit movie
It will cross 100cr in 1st week end
Akshay kumar of movie singh is blling all time blockbuster
Singh is blling super duper hit movie
awesome movi akki p…..