Check out the IndicineLBO (Lifetime Box Office Predictions) of film releases in 2016. Do note that the final lifetime prediction will be made 2 days after the release of the film i.e on Sunday morning if a film releases on Friday.
Notes:
- LBO predictions will be updated after the release of the theatrical trailer, songs and finally after the release of the film.
- Movies that are marked with * are those that are currently set to clash at the box office. But since clashes can still be averted, LBO prediction currently assumes that the film will get a solo release during the same period.
- Word-of-mouth is assumed to be mixed.
Movie | Word of Mouth | Prediction | Actual Collection | Difference | Result | |
Dilwale | Mixed | 145 cr | 148 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
Bajirao Mastani | Extremely Positive | 168 cr | 187 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
Wazir | Mixed | 35 cr | 40 cr | 14% | Accurate | |
Airlift | Positive | 143 cr | 127 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
Kya Kool Hai Hum 3 | Negative | 34 cr | 31 cr | 8% | Accurate | |
Mastizaade | Mixed | 29 cr | 32 cr | 10% | Accurate | |
Saala Khadoos | Negative | 16 cr | 14 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
Ghayal Once Again | Mixed | 39 cr | 36 cr* | 8% | Accurate | |
Sanam Re | Mixed | 28 cr | 29 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
Fitoor | Extremely Negative | 23 cr | 19 cr | 17% | Inaccurate | |
Neerja | Positive | 70 cr | 74 cr | 6% | Accurate | |
Teraa Surroor | Negative | 12 cr | 13 cr | 8% | Accurate | |
Rocky Handsome | Negative | 26 cr | 25 cr | 4% | Accurate | |
Jai Gangaajal | Negative | 33 cr | 32 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
Kapoor & Sons | Positive | 66 cr | 72 cr | 9% | Accurate | |
Ki And Ka | Positive | 54 cr | 53 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
Fan | Negative | 95 cr | 84 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
Baaghi | Positive | 84 cr | 75 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
Azhar | Negative | 35 cr | 33 cr | 5% | Accurate | |
Sarabjit | Mixed | 26 cr | 28 cr | 7% | Accurate | |
Housefull 3 | Mixed | 105 cr | 107 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
Udta Punjab | Mixed | 72 cr | 59 cr | 18% | Inaccurate | |
Sultan | Positive | 305 cr | 302 cr | 1% | Accurate | |
Dishoom | Mixed | 62 cr | 69 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
Mohenjo Daro | Negative | 54 cr | 59 cr | 9% | Accurate | |
Rustom | Positive | 102 cr | 126 cr | 23% | Inaccurate | |
Happy Bhag Jayegi | Mixed | 21 cr | 26 cr | 24% | Inaccurate | |
A Flying Jatt | Negative | 33 cr | 37 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
Akira | Mixed | 27 cr | 28 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
Baar Baar Dekho | Negative | 38 cr | 31 cr | 18% | Inaccurate | |
Raaz Reboot | Negative | 28 cr | 27 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
Pink | Positive | 54 cr | 65 cr | 20% | Inaccurate | |
M S Dhoni biopic | Mixed | 138 cr | 133 cr | 4% | Accurate | |
Mirzya | Negative | 9 cr | 10 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
Shivaay | Mixed | 95 cr | 96 cr | 1% | Accurate | |
Ae Dil Hai Mushkil | Mixed | 102 cr | 111 cr | 9% | Accurate | |
Rock On 2 | Negative | 13 cr | 10 cr | 23% | Inaccurate | |
Force 2 | Mixed | 35 cr | 34 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
Dear Zindagi | Positive | 65 cr | 66 cr | 1% | Accurate | |
Befikre | Negative | 58 cr | 60 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
Dangal | Pending | 315 cr | - | - | - |
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@Indicine,
Interesting what will be the verdict of #FAN, if the film collect 138Cr
All are almost perfect predictions but if Dangal content clicks, sky is the limit. It’ll be the biggest grosser ever!
My prediction for all big movies considering WOM to be good to excellent and solo release:
Fan 170 cr
Raees 240 cr
Sultan 250 cr
Shivaay 140 cr
ADHM 120 cr
Mohenjodaro 210 cr
Rustom 110 cr
HF3 130 cr(very difficult to get good WOM)
Dangal 275 cr+(bcoz Xmas and New year om sunday which means loss of 2 big holidays)
Don’t think protests will have any effect on Dangal and Raees(Pakistani actress).
If content of both movies is top notch, duniya ki koi shakti nahi jo inhe BB hone se rokle! Fingers crossed.
Mark my words
Fan will do 500cs in India only and Raees will do over 1000cs in India only. No body should question my predictions, afterall we SRKians can predict any number for our idol even if his movies struggles to get 200cr :)
Indicine …please publish my comment
dangal will be the highest,,,next sultan or mohen,,,,,aamir is the best btown man
aamir the wizard-pk2,3idiots sequel,,,if it really does happen then he will take bollywood whole another level,
I challenge Indicine to prove –
How does Raees Starcast get 9/10 , while Dangal Starcast gets 10/10 ?
Come on Indicine , prove it !!!
On which basis u have given only 82 cr to rustom and 190cr to mohanjodaro are u kidding
Indicine i have been following ur site since so many years & every time u decrease ajay devgn movies that not gud for any site who jealous with an actor ajay devgn is one actor whose hit movies only behind salman khan & shah rukh khan’s barring these both actor sajay devgn comes third as far as hit conserd & ajay devgn is only actor after 3khans & hrithik whose movie cross 30cr mark in a single day & ajay devgn is one actor who is top leage in 100cr marks league along with salman & srk even though u r ignoring to such a finnest superstar who has been entertaining us for 2 decade which is not gud for an accurate site :( & u r prediction shivaay 121cr which is very less for such an expensive & biggest movie for an ajay devgn’s career this movie has an ability to entor in 200cr club & my final request to indicine please be honest & dnt favouritsm to ur favourite star i shall be thankful to u
Sultan …. 200cr
u rated Raees’s star power in 9 & sultan in 10, What is that. if sultan has anushka sharma then raees also has nawazudein if supporting cast & female lead has some role in deciding of star power
Udta punjab-88 cr
Rangoon-129 cr
Indicine has really understimites rangoon and udta punjab. Both movies will be master piece like haider or may be even better than haider.
My prediction of top 10 grossers of 2016.
1. Dangal- 348 cr
2. Raees- 280 cr
3. Sultan -262 cr
4. Shivya- 208 cr
5. Mohenjo daro- 170 cr
6. Fan -168 cr
7. Airlift-140 cr
8. Houseful 3- 135 cr
9. Rangoon -129 cr
10. Adhm- 106 cr
Other movies’s prediction are-
Dishoom- 85 cr
Befakri- 80 cr
ki n ka- 45 cr
half girlfriend-62 cr
Azhar- 58 cr
m.s dhoni- 82 cr
udta punjab- 88 cr
mirzya- 63 cr
rock on 2-65 cr
rocky handsome- 78 cr
great grand masti -70 cr
hera phari 3- 90 cr
Force 2- 54 cr
baagi- 58 cr
flying jatt -43 cr
fitoor- 53 cr
sanam re- 38 cr
Fan 95cr
Raees 120cr(with clash)
Hi guys. What i think the reason for fan and raees getting 9 on starcast is coz 2 srk movies r releasing in same year which may result in a bit lack of motivation to star. Just like what happened to akshay kumar for releasing 4 movies in a year.
Every sites has listed rangoon and udta punjab in their most awaited movies list. But why r u underestimate both movie indicine?
What i meant is the more the numbers of movies in a year,the less craze around the star by d audience.
Good Work Indicine
Clash is between 3 movies for the top spot Dangal vs Raees vs Sultan. But Hrithiks’ Mohenjadaro and SRK’s Fan can be an underdog for the numero uno spot. Housefull2 , Airlift , Shivaay , Ae Dil Hai Mushkil , Befikre should easily surpass 100 crore . Other movies which can make to 100 crores are Hera Pheri 3, Great Grand Masti and Rustom ( critics favourite ) .
Srk is at least getting 9…hope fan does 130 plus as predicted by indicine…if it does anything less than 125 then I guess he should be even downgraded to 8….10 after dilwale failing to cross 150 is ridiculous ask by his fans….
To get at 10 again fan should do 175 (with opening of at least 18-19 crores even if it is not a holiday release.. as it is solo release and should get 4000 screens. Airlift+kkhm3 did combined total of 18-19 ) while raees should not only do 200 but if it clashes, it should be able to beat sultan in opening….lifetime depends on content…opening will prove who is bigger…weekend matters when it is clash…
hi guys i want to say that i m a huge fan of hrithik roshan not just bcoz he is an allrounder in everything acting stunts romance action drama comedy but bcoz he is a very down to earth person love u hrithik
Sultan solo 250
Raees 230
Dangal 220
Md …..190
Shivay 180
@indicine,good jokes on starcast point for RAEES,FAN.I want to see your face after FAN RELEASE.
@neeraj,from DILWALE onwards I’m marking you 1 rupee 3rd grade star’s fan is after KING KHAN in every article.if KING KHAN will do good films then also you have problem.get lost from here bose dk,wait for MY come back and FAN RELEASE ,nightmares for all fanbase is going to happen very soon.
@hrithik rules,who’re you 1 rupee aukatless star’s fan?are you @hrithik or any new id?your aukatless lallu failed beat HNY’S OPENING on the same day.still you don’t have any shame?and DILWALE on normal release opened far higher occupancy than kick,pk still you don’t have any shame you 3rd class moron?KING KHAN IS THE BIGGEST MEGASTAR FROM LAST 3 DECADES.and your aukatless flopstar like lallu,tingu decade strugglers,apni aukat pehle dekh.
@sky(complan boy),ha ha ha ha tingu is afraid of and jealous of KING KHAN FROM THE DAY OF ENTRY.aukatless tingu’s fan don’t be so happy dangal will highly unlikely a solo release.if it’ll clash mark my words it’ll fail to beat talash as there is no brand power dhoom or raju papa’s complan drink that tingu’ll ever get.and rdb too is a simple hit so don’t overrate it 3rd class star’s fan.
Rocky handsome 60 cr.
Fan 260
Azhar 80
Houseful 3 130
Jagga jasoos 100
Raees 240
sultan 160
dishoom 110
mohen jo daro 200
My prediction has never gone wrong. this time will be no different.
1. Airlift- 125 Cr
2. Fan- 80 Cr
3. Raees- 95 Cr
4. Sultan- 135 Cr
5. Mohenjo daro-225 Cr
6. House full 2- 90 Cr
7. Rustam-65 Cr
8. Shivay- 210 Cr
9. ADM- 45 Cr
10. Dangal- 370 Cr+
@Fake hrithik fan rules, dangal will earn much more than sultan even with clash and even if sultan gets solo release, dangal will earn much more than that. Better shut your bloody mouth.
@ABDUlMALIk, it will be interesting to see how much sultan will collect as Salman will face a clash after getting defeated badly by youn star ranbeer in 2008 and 2006 don vs jaaneman clash. So lets wait and see his real star power which is jai ho and veer without eid, diwali and Christmas.
Lets see so called Salman khan’s history
1. PRDP- solo release diwali
2. BB- kabir khan, harshali’s charm, eid holidays.
3. Kick- successful south movie’s remake
4. Dabangg 2- franchise
5. ETT- YRF/Kabir khan
6. Bodyguard- south remake
7. Ready- south remake
8. Dabangg- masala genre.
Now sultan has neither masala genre, clash with srk movie, no south remake so lets wait and see how much sultan collects. Salman has given maximum flops and disasters in his career. LOL. And you are talking about aamir’s star power who has always been trend setter? Shame on you auto drivers.
@sss you drunk aukaatless hakla fan, firts let your Buddha wrinkal waala Hakla drink complan and give a hit without rohit papa, yrf, dharma, deepika and festivals. We all know his aukaat. He is not even near the feet of biggest real global megastar aamir khan in stardom. With clash or anything that comes on megastar aamir khan’s way, he will shatter his own records. Dangal will take biggest none holiday opening and break pk’s record. While poo fan will not even cross 70 Cr life time of my name is queen.
rocky handsone 150cr