IndicineLBO 2016: Lifetime Box Office Predictions

Check out the IndicineLBO (Lifetime Box Office Predictions) of film releases in 2016. Do note that the final lifetime prediction will be made 2 days after the release of the film i.e on Sunday morning if a film releases on Friday.

Notes:

  • LBO predictions will be updated after the release of the theatrical trailer, songs and finally after the release of the film.
  • Movies that are marked with * are those that are currently set to clash at the box office. But since clashes can still be averted, LBO prediction currently assumes that the film will get a solo release during the same period.
  • Word-of-mouth is assumed to be mixed.
MovieWord of MouthPredictionActual
Collection
DifferenceResult
DilwaleMixed145 cr148 cr2%Accurate
Bajirao MastaniExtremely Positive168 cr187 cr12%Accurate
WazirMixed35 cr40 cr14%Accurate
AirliftPositive143 cr127 cr11%Accurate
Kya Kool Hai Hum 3Negative34 cr31 cr8%Accurate
MastizaadeMixed29 cr32 cr10%Accurate
Saala KhadoosNegative16 cr14 cr12%Accurate
Ghayal Once AgainMixed39 cr36 cr*8%Accurate
Sanam ReMixed28 cr29 cr3%Accurate
FitoorExtremely Negative23 cr19 cr17%Inaccurate
NeerjaPositive70 cr74 cr6%Accurate
Teraa SurroorNegative12 cr13 cr8%Accurate
Rocky HandsomeNegative26 cr25 cr4%Accurate
Jai GangaajalNegative33 cr32 cr3%Accurate
Kapoor & SonsPositive66 cr72 cr9%Accurate
Ki And KaPositive54 cr53 cr2%Accurate
FanNegative95 cr84 cr11%Accurate
BaaghiPositive84 cr75 cr11%Accurate
AzharNegative35 cr33 cr5%Accurate
SarabjitMixed26 cr28 cr7%Accurate
Housefull 3Mixed105 cr107 cr2%Accurate
Udta PunjabMixed72 cr59 cr18%Inaccurate
SultanPositive305 cr302 cr1%Accurate
DishoomMixed62 cr69 cr11%Accurate
Mohenjo DaroNegative54 cr59 cr9%Accurate
RustomPositive102 cr126 cr23%Inaccurate
Happy Bhag JayegiMixed21 cr26 cr24%Inaccurate
A Flying JattNegative33 cr37 cr12%Accurate
AkiraMixed27 cr28 cr3%Accurate
Baar Baar DekhoNegative38 cr31 cr18%Inaccurate
Raaz RebootNegative28 cr27 cr3%Accurate
PinkPositive54 cr65 cr20%Inaccurate
M S Dhoni biopicMixed138 cr133 cr4%Accurate
MirzyaNegative9 cr10 cr11%Accurate
ShivaayMixed95 cr96 cr1%Accurate
Ae Dil Hai MushkilMixed102 cr111 cr9%Accurate
Rock On 2Negative13 cr10 cr23%Inaccurate
Force 2Mixed35 cr34 cr3%Accurate
Dear ZindagiPositive65 cr66 cr1%Accurate
BefikreNegative58 cr60 cr3%Accurate
DangalPending315 cr---
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166 Comments

  • Neerja and rocky handsome both will do 50… Rustom without clash can do 100.. Mohenjo Daro without clash can cross 200

    Dangal will wrap under 200… Sultan without clash will cross 250… You are predicting dangal to do more than sultan is ridiculous

  • Also frankly speaking Salman 10 is great… I agree but if SRK is 9 then Aamir can’t be 10… To say Aamir is bigger than SRK is crazy it should be both 9

    Even to day mohenjo Daro don’t cross 200 is bit biased … Hrithik with bang bang type negative wom gives 160 plus … This is much grander film

  • @Chain smoker
    Should I remind you when akshay trashed srk’s movies ??? Singh is king broke his OSO opening day.
    In 2010 Both housefull nd TMK took bigger opener then his MNIK IN same year .
    In 2009 akshays all movies did better then srk’s billu .
    In 2012 Akshays Rowdy rathore did more then JTHJ ND housefull 2 did little more then don 2 .

    From 2007 to 2012 ..akshays movies hve done better then his movies .

    It’s just matter of time .
    Housefull 3 can do more then even raaes too . Don’t make me bash srk now .

  • Acc. to ormax media akki is 2nd most popular male star of 2015 n srk is 3rd..thn why fan has 9starcast n housefull only 8??Please answer indicine

  • Housefull 3 165 is bit overestimation it will do 140-145… If it crosses 150 then it will be good but will be difficult

    Akki is brilliant but it will still take 3-4 good films to convince all multiplex audience to visit … But by end of 2016 he will be back in top 3 for sure … Airlift did 40 percent of job his rest films will cement his position and with Rajni sir he will get noticed in places like Japan too…

  • Also fan 138 crores is bit less… SRK is still not so finished that his films do less than 150… That is again underestimation

    Fan will do 165

  • My predictions :-

    Raaes – 170 with clash
    Fan- 150
    Sultan- 180 with clash
    Dangal- 250
    Housefull 3 – 180
    Shivay – 110
    Mohanjodaro – 130
    Ae dil hai muskhil – 140

  • @sky:
    Only Bhakts have problem with Aamir and his statement not the genuine Indians. Except the those morons nobody will boycott/protest Dangal. And we all had seen their prowess during pk release. Hence there will be no effect on Dangal’s collections…

  • most surprising is prediction of houseful 3..
    comedy trend ovr.. or atleast nt as powerful as 4-5 yrs bck..
    sajid farhans last film was entertainment.too much dilogs.. cartoonish fights..
    i think HF3 shld be 122 CR..nt 165 cr.

  • Sultan will cross 250cr in worst case scenario if it releases solo.And I think you’re underestimating Rustom and Shivaay too.Other than that it looks quite accurate considering most of biggies haven’t release trailers.

  • FAN will be double edge sword.

    If content is high at the level of PK or 3 IDIOTS, it could cross 300 crore.

    FAN is releasing on excellent time. T20 WC in India hangover will carry on to IPL.

    Indian public might be looking a way out to go to cinemas in large number after T20 WC finals.

    If FAN maintains high content, it may not drop below 15 cr. for almost a month after April 15 release.

    FAN can be a serious game changer only and only if content is high enough.

    I would not even be surprised if it crosses 350 crores.

  • Indicine.. U r Wrong.. * means if Sultan solo release it wil cross more than 300 Crores.. Mark my words.. Even im ready to bet .. Hav u a dare to a bet?.. Im 100% sure, Sultan teaser, Banner, salmans look, and star cast already created a lot buzz.. If script is good then even it can touch to 400 Cr.. I dont know how how u r predicting wit experts, very shame

  • Fans are increasing, Screens and multiplex are increasing, tickets prices r increasing, i dont know how u ppl r predicting… Very shame ..
    If following films gets solo release then
    Raees 250 cr
    Sultan 300 cr
    Dangal 200 to 250 cr

  • All srk fans who are saying that fan and raees both will earn more than 200 cr in India Pls don’t run away after release if you truly srk fans be ready make big big excuse

  • @Indicine
    what do you mean by giving 9 to fan and raees Star cast
    I think u are trying to make a joke that is senseless

    My prediction for fan
    fan 250 cr(domestic)+400 cr(os)

  • Ghayal Once Again 40 cr
    Fitoor 55 cr
    Neerja 51 cr
    Jai Gangaajal 37 cr
    Kapoor & Sons 66 cr
    Great Grand Masti 76 cr
    Rocky Handsome 45 cr
    Ki And Ka 53 cr
    Fan 162 cr
    Baaghi 54 cr
    Azhar 46 cr
    Sarabjit 48 cr
    Housefull 3 120 cr
    Jagga Jasoos 86 cr
    Udta Punjab 45 cr
    Raees 177 cr
    Sultan 187 cr
    Dhishoom 90 cr
    Mohenjo Daro 205 cr
    Rustom 82 cr
    A Flying Jatt 69 cr
    M S Dhoni biopic 66 cr
    Baar Baar Dekho 43 cr
    Rangoon 61 cr
    Half Girlfriend 78 cr
    Ae Dil Hai Mushkil 106 cr
    Shivaay 110 cr
    Rock On 2 70 cr
    Befikre 98 cr
    Dangal 220 cr

  • If starcast is based on stardom then SRK and Salman are much ahead of Aamir. If anything, Raees and Fan should be 9, Dangal should be 8, and Sultan should be 10 solely bc of Anushka Sharma

  • @Indicine… That’s so generous of you guys giving Shivaay 120crs! Hey isn’t it to much I thought you would say 90 crs. Do you know what? you guys are so arrogant bias and don’t give us impression you are suppose 2 b a neutral site. I mean I know you have certain actors you don’t hide your admiration for which is cool I have no problem with that and their collections.

    Straight to the point..Shivaay 121 buzz 6? It’s good because almost 75% of users on this comment box are predicting 150-180. Lifetime of BM who you wrote off and see what happened. (This is not Ranveer this is Ajay Devgn a veteran a superstar an accomplished established celeb in Indi) so… Those predicting that 150-180 are clowns right? Those polls conducted for most waited movies even higher than 2 movies you rated so high… The poll users are clowns too? Social media buzz trending Shivaay is a joke right? British child sensation Abigail Eames of Lawless Doctor who some highly rated Tpr series host her movies. You have Massar of Mission impossible rogue of nation villain in Shivaay You have the best stunt director in the world Jack Gill who did dejavu, the invasion, rush hour 3 fast and furious franchise and many more Atbb Hollywood movies… Still buzz 6? Adhm.. Budget 55 crs so 110 as you said means super hit to blockbuster. Who are the crew members of Adhm? Karan Johan last 2 movies below average Ungli. Flop Brothers. Anuksha last lifetime collection and opening day? Ashwariya last movie verdict? flop. Ranbir last 4 movies flop. Karan Johan current intolerance issues not so easy to forget but no effect. If based on these parameters you give Adhm 110 and starcast 7 then you are really so wicked and adamant. But all these doesn’t count hun?

    Now just look @your fellow Akshay fan user @Babaji. can you see why he is one of the best knowledge user I have come across, yes sometime bashes Ajay but deep in him I know where hee places Ajay and that’s one of the reasons I feel reluctant to bash Akki when his kiddish boys comments rubbish. @Babaji being an Akki fan predicted 145 for Akshay houseful 3. Other fans 200. Know why he predicted 145? because the budget of Houseful 3 is not more than 55 crores 145 means blockbuster or more. That’s a very smart and matured prediction. He predicted Shivaay lifetime 160 cos he knows the budget alone is 100 crs some sites say 140-160. But following your lifetime for Shivaay with even budget of 100 it will be below average or just received its cost. Is that what you want or mean?

    Well that’s it… I don’t find this neutral rather hatred and having preference for some people. Trailer not out.. A list superstar..high action octane movie, some one with huge Tpr just after khan’s, 5th highet Footfalls… Gave a 32 opening in a movie so enjoy your wishes.

    @Babaji 8.41
    …you said what I wanted saying just few alterations but almost d same. Honestly kudos.. Never doubted your knowledge in this business before.. Just keep in being real natural and unbias and see how you or your actor gets positive response. Very good prediction and realistic.

    Finally… Pls correct that extremely positive clause from BM or put d same for Airlift. wom of Airlift was phenomenon. oh yeah rangoon starcast same with Shivaay? jaggu jasoos 7 like Adhm? Dishoom 7 too? Same you saying Ajay can’t collect 200 crs that people over misunderstood it, ain’t easy,Shivaay must be extraordinary, Ajay second highest opening 12 without mentioning the figure for SR.. 32 invitation article….but Houseful 3 can be the highest grosser? nobody disputes,that but why then suppressing Shivaay? Sorry for guys…such a hater just like that. Yesterday refuse stating top 10 most liked movies 2015 Drishyam 4th rather same heading but you went to a list stating wom of top grosser to accommodate Srk at no.10? whatever your motif… Good luck..lost faith too like someone mentioned today. Might just be seeing me commenting far more lesser henceforth… Try and be more real my advice.. This an international media site..ppl read from all parts of the world.

  • @indicine don’t forget fan will solo release in 4500 screens, and u predicted 138cr don’t underastimate srk he always gives biggest opening, i accept fan is niche bt that’s not mean that movie will not entertainig fan will colle 200cr minimum

  • DANGAL will not do more than 145 crs
    It will be below dilwale
    Awareness is increasing now in India
    That’s why Aamir is trying so hard to damage control now a days after result of dilwale
    Sultan will be 250 plus
    Mohehjodharo 250 plus
    SHIVAY 150 plus
    House full 3 Accurate prediction
    RAEEES 200 plus
    Fan No idea might do between 100-200 cr

  • Do u really think @indicine that Ae Dile Mushkil can collect more than Shivaay if they clashed with each oter?? KJ is great director but Shivaay is much awaited even in the worst case scenario Shivaay easily defeat ADHM on opening day..btw ADHM trailers can tell better..Ranbir is superstar KJ is one of the best hoping for great movie n story…but i love Ajay Devgn #Shivaay all the way

  • FAN predictation is very bold buts since Srk himself said it’s not a film that will do big business.
    By the teaser of Raees it looks like a film that will depend on content,will the content click with the audience? Only time will tell.
    Sultan marks the return of Salman and YRJ there last film had the biggest opening ever back in 2012 with an occupancy of 95-100% on opening day,the lifetime collection fell short of 200cr,so Sultan will definately have a huge opening.
    Mahenjo Daro is the most promisng film of Hrithik after along time,with the dedication that Hrithik has given on this film am expecting a good movie from Hrithik.
    Shivaay is Ajay biggest film in his whole career it’s such a shame it may end up clashing with ADHM coz Shivaay has a potential of collecting 200cr .
    Housefull 3,the audience response to Airlift and sequel factor will help the film to have a good opening weekend.
    Dangal will be a real test for Aamir since most of his big hits had huge factors
    1.3 Idiots (Hirani)
    2.Dhoom 3 (big franchise)
    3.P.K (Hirani)
    his last film film without Hirani was Taalash which was a non holiday,i can’t wait to see how Dangal will perform without these factors.
    Shivaay , Housefull 3 and Mahenjo Daro have a potential of doing 200cr

  • @indicine you have predicted 138 cr lifetime for FAN. If it collects 138 crs then what will be ts verdict? Please answer my question.

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