Check out the IndicineLBO (Lifetime Box Office Predictions) of film releases in 2016. Do note that the final lifetime prediction will be made 2 days after the release of the film i.e on Sunday morning if a film releases on Friday.
Notes:
- LBO predictions will be updated after the release of the theatrical trailer, songs and finally after the release of the film.
- Movies that are marked with * are those that are currently set to clash at the box office. But since clashes can still be averted, LBO prediction currently assumes that the film will get a solo release during the same period.
- Word-of-mouth is assumed to be mixed.
| Movie | Word of Mouth | Prediction | Actual Collection | Difference | Result | |
| Dilwale | Mixed | 145 cr | 148 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
| Bajirao Mastani | Extremely Positive | 168 cr | 187 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
| Wazir | Mixed | 35 cr | 40 cr | 14% | Accurate | |
| Airlift | Positive | 143 cr | 127 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Kya Kool Hai Hum 3 | Negative | 34 cr | 31 cr | 8% | Accurate | |
| Mastizaade | Mixed | 29 cr | 32 cr | 10% | Accurate | |
| Saala Khadoos | Negative | 16 cr | 14 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
| Ghayal Once Again | Mixed | 39 cr | 36 cr* | 8% | Accurate | |
| Sanam Re | Mixed | 28 cr | 29 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
| Fitoor | Extremely Negative | 23 cr | 19 cr | 17% | Inaccurate | |
| Neerja | Positive | 70 cr | 74 cr | 6% | Accurate | |
| Teraa Surroor | Negative | 12 cr | 13 cr | 8% | Accurate | |
| Rocky Handsome | Negative | 26 cr | 25 cr | 4% | Accurate | |
| Jai Gangaajal | Negative | 33 cr | 32 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
| Kapoor & Sons | Positive | 66 cr | 72 cr | 9% | Accurate | |
| Ki And Ka | Positive | 54 cr | 53 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
| Fan | Negative | 95 cr | 84 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Baaghi | Positive | 84 cr | 75 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Azhar | Negative | 35 cr | 33 cr | 5% | Accurate | |
| Sarabjit | Mixed | 26 cr | 28 cr | 7% | Accurate | |
| Housefull 3 | Mixed | 105 cr | 107 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
| Udta Punjab | Mixed | 72 cr | 59 cr | 18% | Inaccurate | |
| Sultan | Positive | 305 cr | 302 cr | 1% | Accurate | |
| Dishoom | Mixed | 62 cr | 69 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Mohenjo Daro | Negative | 54 cr | 59 cr | 9% | Accurate | |
| Rustom | Positive | 102 cr | 126 cr | 23% | Inaccurate | |
| Happy Bhag Jayegi | Mixed | 21 cr | 26 cr | 24% | Inaccurate | |
| A Flying Jatt | Negative | 33 cr | 37 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
| Akira | Mixed | 27 cr | 28 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
| Baar Baar Dekho | Negative | 38 cr | 31 cr | 18% | Inaccurate | |
| Raaz Reboot | Negative | 28 cr | 27 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
| Pink | Positive | 54 cr | 65 cr | 20% | Inaccurate | |
| M S Dhoni biopic | Mixed | 138 cr | 133 cr | 4% | Accurate | |
| Mirzya | Negative | 9 cr | 10 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Shivaay | Mixed | 95 cr | 96 cr | 1% | Accurate | |
| Ae Dil Hai Mushkil | Mixed | 102 cr | 111 cr | 9% | Accurate | |
| Rock On 2 | Negative | 13 cr | 10 cr | 23% | Inaccurate | |
| Force 2 | Mixed | 35 cr | 34 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
| Dear Zindagi | Positive | 65 cr | 66 cr | 1% | Accurate | |
| Befikre | Negative | 58 cr | 60 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
| Dangal | Pending | 315 cr | - | - | - | |
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Fan is very unpredictable movie
as far as reality’s concerned, it will do less business because it is non holiday.
I am saying that Fan is very emotional movie the way teasers have given a little detail about the movie is really unique.
We srk fans want two things.
1 – Fan should get a wide release at least 4200 screens . The more the better !!!
2 – content should be very strong and it should be filled with emotions , because it has novelty , for the 1st time a movie like Fan is being made … !!!!
I just hope yrf does full justice to fan releasing on as many screens as possible
one thing that everyone might be aware of is fan’s limited appeal , hope it gets accepted widely !!!!!!
there is not only dangal which has the best chance to emerge the biggest hit of 2016
movies like Fan and shivaay can surprise us just like bm did !!!!!
39cr will b the weekend collection of ki&ka
How will Raees do only 214 crores with solo release ? It should do more .
If SULTAN Vs CRAPEES happens (which is likely to be) then HGOTY should be DANGAL bcoz Aamir and X’mas are made for each other ? !!!!
So great grand masti will collect 76 crores , less than grand masti . But I think it will either end up below 50 crores if rejected or do 120-125 crores if liked by audience .
people of our country on twitter
@5:07 pm Yuvraj Singh is finished now he had to retired from cricket way earlier blah ….. blah……
@5:08 pm omg what an amaging player Yuvraj is !! he is one of the most talented cricketer of India “once a champion always a champion ” blah ….. blah….
so it is nothing just matter of time same thing now indicine does by giving srk’s movies starcast 9 point lol…. even a kid know that srk is enough in term of acting he has nothing to prove for fan no one better than him and for raees everybody known his intense villain performances in some previous movies
mark my words this USHA FAN will struggle to reach even JAI HO collections bcoz we all know the real aukaat of hakla without EDX and other major holidays and especially on non holiday (no price of guessing… a film released back in 2010 ?)
I am laughing on #Indicine who still predicting 200cr+ for haklu movies ?. never seen this type of biasness ?.
Havenot there any chance for raees to cross 250 mark(without clashe)? Bcz director is national award winner, star is srk. Please @indicine give answer soon.
why Fan and Raees have 9 for Starcast ? i dont understand the logic behind that…
Top 10 most awaited movie 2016
1. Raees 250 cr
2. Dangal 240 cr
3. Sultaan 240 cr
4. Mohanjodro 210 cr
5. Fan 200 cr
6. Housefull 3 180 cr
7. Shivay 150 cr
8. Ae dil he muskil 135
9. Airlift 128 cr
10. Befikre 120 cr
Bajirao Mastani – Extremely positive
Airlift – Positive
How?
Vice Versa isnt it??
Where is Raaz 4 prediction?
Where is Raaz 4 prediction? And increase azhar prediction.
Waiting for azhar,raaz4
Indicine under estimate FAN First 200cr non holiday crosser
@indicine raaz 4 prediction?
u r going on neglecting raaz 4. No articles on shoot start yet.pics also.emraan hashmi starting at the most haunted forest of the world for raaz4.
during azhar shoot , he saved nargis fakhrri .
Shivaay Mohenjo buzz 6 8 and lifetime so low. You proved you are just so sentimental and bias. Ajay is well known now Hrithik? Houseful 3 165! bravo keep it up. Fan 108? super bravo. losing faith with you people now. Favourism is too open. How can Mohenjo buzz be 8?
Sultan 270*
Raees 110
Dangal 255
Sivaay 170
Dangal will be a big slap to indicine team. As it will collect more than 350 crore in india. Worldwide above 800 crore.
@last prince
u emraan hashmi fan? nice to see you here and lets bash haters togetha and increase ur azhar prediction. don’t underestimate
Great grand masti will collect more than 100 crore.
Fan 138 cr…..!!
Lol..!!
Fan will cross 250 cr easyli
Raees n Housefull3 will be the top 2 grosser of 2016
My Predictions:
Fan 130 Raees 170
Sultan* 260*
Dangal 255
Shivaay 155
Mohenje Daro 190
At the beginning,everyone expect other movies to be hgoty…but finally,Salman starrers achieve that…With or without clash,even with poor wom,poor reviews,boycotting,1000 screens etc can’t stop Sultan for becoming hgoty 2016…:-B)B)B)
It’s Dishoom and not Dhishoom. Please correct it.
Housefull 3- 205 cr,Rustom- 155 cr,Sultan-230 cr,Raees- 188 cr,Fan- 148 cr,Dangal- 175 cr because boicot,Shivaay- 150 cr because clash,Ae Dil Hai Muskil- 130 cr,Dishoom-102 cr,Mohenjo daro-178 cr,Befikre- 92 cr.
Romance Take: 2014 n 2015 bollywood got one 300cr films will any film do it in 2016 ans should be big no but may do because 2016 started with Bang Airlift. Only Raees(solo) n Dangal(if it apple universally) chance to cross 300cr because without content or extraordinary trending 300cr even 250cr not possible.
300cr Film: Raees(solo)
200-250cr Film: Raees(clash) Housefull3 Dangal
150-200cr Film: ADHM Sultan(solo)
100-150cr Film: Airlift Rustom Mohenjodaro(solo)
Surprise Super Hit: Half Gf Rangoon Befikre
@indicine why are srk films having starcast rating as 9.Isn’t he as big star as other khans?
Finally this article has been posted . Many people on Indicine including me were desperately waiting for this article . According to me your predictions are appropriate . Honestly i feel the predictions of Mohenjo Daro and Shivaay are less . I am expecting MD to do more than 200 + and Shivaay to do 150 + . If all goes well Shivaay will be Ajay’s Highest Grosser and also might enter 200 CR Club if content clicks . Your predictions for H3 and Fan are higher than what i expected . Fan is releasing on Non Holiday during the IPL Period and H3 is releasing on Post IPL Period which is a pretty good date but it is expected to clash with JJ and Raaz 4 . Other than these your predictions for Dangal, Sultan, ADHM, GGM, Raees and Rustom look perfect . Overall good job as usual and i hope your predictions are better than 2015 . Overall on paper 2016 looks like a much better year in terms of Box Office as compared to the last year . I hope in terms of content this year will be a surprise package . Cheers !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!