The trailer of the last film of 2015 has been released. The industry now gears up for the biggest clash of the year as Shah Rukh Khan’s Dilwale and Ranveer Singh’s Bajirao Mastani are both scheduled to release on 18 December.
Since both films are releasing on a normal Friday, it’ll be interesting if the combined collections of the two films can beat the record set by Dhoom 3 in 2013. D3 collected Rs 36.22 crore on its opening day, which was a working day. The combined screen-count of Dilwale and Bajirao Mastani will be higher than Dhoom 3, and the two films could be targeting business in the range of 35-40 crore on Day 1.
We expect Dilwale to lead, as the SRK starrer is not only the bigger film of the two, but it should also get around 30% more shows at multiplexes. Our initial prediction for Dilwale after the trailer launch of the film is Rs 25 crore and for Bajirao Mastani it’s Rs 11 crore. Final predictions will be published on 17th December i.e a day before the two films release.
Prem Ratan Dhan Payo is currently trending at Rs 41.8 crore, final prediction will be made tomorrow. The other two major releases of the year are Tamasha and Hate Story 3. Check out the table below.
We have posted predictions of 41 films this year and accurately predictions the business of 32 films. Most of the films that we couldn’t accurately predict were either surprise hits or mega disasters.
| Movie | Prediction | Official | |
| Tevar | 6.5 | 7.05 cr | + 8% |
| Alone | 4 | 3.50 cr | - 12% |
| Hawaizaada | 1.25 | 0.6 cr | - 52% |
| Khamoshiyan | 1.75 | 1.92 cr | + 9% |
| Baby | 8.5 | 9.30 cr | + 9% |
| Dolly Ki Doli | 1.6 | 1.75 cr | + 9% |
| Shamitabh | 4.0 | 3.5 cr | - 12% |
| Roy | 8.5 | 10.4 | + 22% |
| Badlapur | 6.5 | 7 cr | + 7% |
| Dum Laga Ke Haisha | 1.25 | 1.1 | - 12% |
| Ab Tak Chhappan 2 | 1.1 | 1.25 | + 13% |
| NH10 | 2.75 | 3.35 | + 22% |
| Detective Byomkesh Bakshy | 4.5 | 4.25 | - 5% |
| Ek Paheli Leela | 5.25 | 5.30 | + 1% |
| Mr X | 4.2 | 4.5 | + 7% |
| Margarita With A Straw | 0.2 | 0.23 | + 1% |
| Gabbar Is Back | 13 | 13.05 | 0% |
| Piku | 5.5 | 5.32 | - 3% |
| Bombay Velvet | 9.5 | 5.2 | - 45% |
| Tanu Weds Manu Returns | 7.05 | 8.85 | + 25% |
| Welcome To Karachi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0% |
| Dil Dhadakne Do | 9.5 | 10.53 | + 11% |
| Hamari Adhuri Kahani | 5.75 | 5.04 | - 12% |
| ABCD 2 | 12.5 | 14.3 | + 14% |
| Bajrangi Bhaijaan | 30.4 | 27.25 | - 10% |
| Drishyam | 5.25 | 5.3 | + 1% |
| Bangistan | 2.5 | 1.1 | - 56% |
| Brothers | 15.5 | 15.2 | - 2% |
| All Is Well | 3.1 | 2.9 | - 6% |
| Manjhi | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0% |
| Phantom | 7.6 | 8.46 | 11% |
| Welcome Back | 11.5 | 14.35 | + 24% |
| Hero | 7.5 | 6.85 | - 8% |
| Katti Batti | 4.6 | 5.28 | - 14% |
| Calendar Girls | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0% |
| Kis Kisko Pyaar Karoon | 4.5 | 10.15 | + 125% |
| Singh Is Bling | 18.6 | 20.67 | +11% |
| Talvar | 3.3 | 3.0 | -9% |
| Jazbaa | 4.5 | 4.23 | -6% |
| Pyaar Ka Punchnama 2 | 3.3 | 6.80 | + 103% |
| Shaandaar | 14.7 | 13.1 | -11% |
| Prem Ratan Dhan Payo | 43.6 | 41.75 | -4% |
| Tamasha | 11.7 | 10.87 | 7% |
| Hate Story 3 | 9.4 | 9.72 | 3% |
| Dilwale | 25.2 | 21 | - 16% |
| Bajirao Mastani | 11.5 | 12.8 | + 11% |
very much excited for Dilwale
Really 25 cr with clash lol….
Even pk collected 26 cr without clash….
Dilwale 1st day will be 20 cr or less….
Bajirao mastani will be 14 cr….
Where prdp 1st day will be 47 cr or more…
I think dilwale will easily cross 30 cr on its opening day..lets see
I have no reason to doubt Indicine … , but I think Dilwale will surely come close to 30 cr on Day 1 itself !
lets find out
dilwale will collect 30 cr above with clash and 40 cr without clash if it didn’t i will leave indicine
Dilwale is an event film & SRK starrer so people will come to watch such films regardless of trailer. Chartbuster songs + big promotion are more important to increasing hype.
25 crore for Dilwale & 11 crore for BM are good bases to work from but Dilwale would be looking at 30cr+ if solo.
PK on 4200 screens collected 26 crs , remember this figure everyone !
Dilwale Opening Day will prove why SRK will ALWAYS rule B’Wood !!!
Dilwale will lead but number of screens & shows it gets might be out of its hands.
My first day prediction-dilwale 30 crs and bm 11 crs.bm wil open huge in maharastra
prdp will do close to 50crores…
dilwale 22cr
bm 15cr
Yea,, it will break dhoom 3 ?It does not matter at all,,,, aamir is aamir!!!! No one can make benchmark but aamir! He is the best in world!!!!!
dilwale will challenge dhoom 3 opening record even with clash..mark my word..
After good first weekend dilwale will crush,
content is king, not shahrukh.
I feel pity for SLB. I hope he will postpone. Dilwale dilwalon k liye hai.
Dilwale Will get 2800 screen max….
Bajirao mastani will get 2200 screen….
I guarantee it bm will give tough fight to dilwale…..
Bcoz such royal film like bajirao mastani will not come every time…..
But we all know about rohit sheety film ….
Same combo of cars n fighting n comedy where bm is different….
Slb is class….
Kick _27cr
PK_26cr
both movie realise with around 4000 screen and solo realise and Dilwale realise around 2800 screen and clash with big budjet movie and class Director SLB.Still Dilwale first day prediction is 25 cr and hopefully it will increase..Now u can get who is biggest star of India.SRK Rules bollywood
25cr is what BM will collect…!
Lol..25 crores.It would collect 30 crores even in worst case.The songs are expected to be chartbusters.Don’t underestimate the power of King Khan
mark my words…dilwale first day collection less than 20 cror
Baghban 2 will struggle to match YJHDs 2013 opening day…!
Well the trailer is a blockbuster.. Music is blockbuster(concluded from trailer) and moreover its the King SRK film so highest non-holiday opening guaranteed even with clash..
DILWALE 32CR
@indicine,
Considering all the positives and negative is 25cr a good number for Dilwale?
Please reply
BM WILL BE WASHOUT IN FRONT ON DILWALE
DILWALE = All time blockbuster
BAJIRAO MASTANI = All time disaster
@ Indicine :
Dilwale Trailer is breaking records after records after records … !
Please post an article !
IF PRDP 41CR THAN DILWALE 32 CR WITH CLASH CONFIRMED!! ALL THE BEST TO SRK & SK!!!
Baghban 2 could get close to PK bcoz afterall Laal Mirchi magically made Crappy New Yrs opening day jump from 36cr to 45cr…!
My first day prediction is for Dilwale 30 crore nd BM 10 crore.