Note: IndicineFBO predictions are updated once every 3 days on the FBO page. The final predictions are made one day before the release of the film.
With 2016 coming to an end, it’s time to look forward to another year of predictions. Ok Jaanu, Raees and Kaabil are the big releases this month, followed by Jolly LLB 2 in February. The Rangoon Trailer will be out on January 6.
Ok Jaanu: The trailer of the film got a mixed response, but the popularity of ‘The Humma Song’ has helped increase awareness around the film. The pairing of ‘Aashiqui 2’ stars Aditya Roy Kapur and Shraddha Kapoor is what’s generating interest, while the lack of freshness in the love story is possibly the biggest negative. ‘Ok Jaanu’ should open above the 5 crore mark, with the fate of the film almost entirely dependent on how it grows over the weekend. It will face a lot of competition too – Dangal is likely to remain strong in the 4th week, while Nawazuddin Siddiqui’s Haramkhor and Deepika Padukone’s debut Hollywood film ‘xXx: The Return of Xander Cage’ will divide business.
Raees: Shah Rukh Khan’s return to the big screen after his last solo-lead film ‘FAN’, has generated a lot of excitement. But the film will be competing against Hrithik Roshan’s ‘Kaabil’ which also releases on the same day. The Day 1 battle is likely to be one-sided with ‘Raees’ leading. What’s working so far is SRK’s presence, the dialogues and the trailer has also received a very good response.
Kaabil: The second trailer of ‘Kaabil’ has received a excellent response, which promises to make the clash more even. While ‘Kaabil’ is almost certain to fall short of ‘Raees’ on Day 1, the battle for the more important lifetime total could be much closer if the Hrithik Roshan starrer turns out to be a well-made entertaining film. The final push for ‘Kaabil’ will come through a few promos which will be released around 10 days before the film, that could give the business of the film a big boost leading upto its release.
Jolly LLB 2: Akshay Kumar’s first film of 2017 is generating all the interest. The response we got from the theatre samples for the trailer is excellent. If the makers can sustain the interest for the next one month, we could be looking at a opening in the 15 crore range – which is excellent for a film like ‘Jolly LLB 2’. For now, it could be the first film of 2017 that could recover all of its investment on the strength of its opening and first weekend business itself.
Movie | Day 1 | Official | Buzz | Date |
Simran | 2.6 | - | 1 | 15 Sep |
Lucknow Central | 1.8 | - | 1 | 15 Sep |
Bhoomi | 3.5 | - | 2 | 22 Sep |
Haseena Parkar | 1.0 | - | 1 | 22 Sep |
Judwaa 2 | 15.5 | - | 8 | 28 Sep |
Ok Jaanu | 5.6 | 4.08 | 2 | 13 Jan |
Kaabil* | 11.5 | 10.43 | 5 | 25 Jan |
Raees* | 21.5 | 20.42 | 9 | 25 Jan |
Jolly LLB 2 | 14.25 | 13.2 | 6 | 10 Feb |
Rangoon | 6.3 | 5.0 | 2 | 24 Feb |
Commando 2 | 4.0 | 4.25 | 2 | 3 Feb |
Badrinath Ki Dulhania | 11.6 | 12.25 | 7 | 10 Mar |
Phillauri | 4.0 | 4.02 | 2 | 24 Mar |
Begum Jaan | 3.1 | 3.94 | 3 | 14 Apr |
Noor | 2.2 | 1.54 | 1 | 21 Apr |
Baahubali 2 | 33 | 41 | 10 | 28 Apr |
Sarkar 3 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 12 May |
Meri Pyaari Bindu | 2.7 | 1.75 | 2 | 12 May |
Half Girlfriend | 9.2 | 10.27 | 6 | 19 May |
Raabta | 6.5 | 5.61 | 4 | 9 Jun |
Tubelight | 27 | 21.15 | 8 | 23 Jun |
Mom | 3.1 | 2.9 | 3 | 7 Jul |
Guest In London | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 7 Jul |
Jagga Jasoos | 8.8 | 8.57 | 4 | 14 Jul |
Munna Michael | 8.2 | 6.65 | 3 | 21 Jul |
Mubarakan | 7.2 | 5.25 | 3 | 28 Jul |
Jab Harry Met Sejal | 17.0 | 15.25 | 6 | 4 Aug |
Toilet: EPK | 13.0 | 13.1 | 6 | 11 Aug |
Bareilly Ki Barfi | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2 | 18 Aug |
Babumoshai Bandookbaaz | 2.0 | 2.05 | 1 | 25 Aug |
A Gentleman | 5.7* | 4.04* | 2 | 25 Aug |
Baadshaho | 10.4 | - | 3 | 1 Sep |
Shubh Mangal Saavdhan | 2.2 | - | 2 | 1 Sep |
Raees with solo release could have opened to a bumper response just like Dilwale which had the potential to cross D3 opening day whose opening day business got affected because of Bajirao.
But still 18 crores on a non holiday with clash that too against a superstar is still amazing
Raees will collect 21+ I’m sure..
waiting for Jolly LLB 2
20+ on cards definitely
raees first day collection will 22 to 24 cr mark my words..
@indicine
It’s 2017 already. Include 2016 & update this article http://www.indicine.com/movies/bollywood/successful-bollywood-actor-2010-2015/
RAEES 180 -200
KAABIL 110-120
JOLLY LLB2 140-150
OK JAANU 45-50
Waiting For #JollyLLB2
OMG
Akshay kumar star power…….15cr for a movie
of budget – 35cr
is like
30cr opening for a film budget of 130cr…..
Thank God you mentioned Rangoon !!!… You are waiting for trailer and we are waiting for you to share the poster, which has been launched 2 days before, but you have no time except to count Dangal’s collections…
waiting 4 jolly llb 2
go pagal releasing 2morrow so exited……..
go pagal releasing 2morrow so exited……..
Please tell something about aa gaya hero, it’s looking low budget movie but still
Raees 18 cr seriously?? I’m sure raees first day collection will be 26cr and kaabil 13cr.
Raees will earn 60 cr first weekend but the takla and plastic face is there .
Great?! Better Late than Never!U have finally posted this article!
I agree with u on some points that JOLLYLLB 2 could possibly open in 15 cr plus figure which literally it should bcz the trailer has got a very good response but i also agree that sustaining buzz is equally important for e.g (the case of Baby & Shivaay) which can be put as metaphor for the importance of buzz of a movie!I think even 16 – 17 cr is achievable with few chartbuster songs & good promos which could possibly increase the buzz even more!Buzz is the key & has a major share in the opening of a movie along with star power!
#luv
I think you are underrating Kaabil. Its 1st trailer was received well, got appreciation for how the love story was showed, and 2nd trailer as you wrote has got excellent response. Yes, it’s a smaller film with lower budget, will get less screens, but songs like Kaabil Hoon & Haseeno Ka Deewana have been doing well & are popular, Mon Amour will be a chartbuster & further appeal to multiplex audience, whereas Laila appeals to mass centers. If multiplex audience comes in big number for Kaabil then, the gap will be closer. Raees will certainly lead at single screens, but it depends on SRKs name a lot to bring multiplex audience. I think the gap will be of around 2 crore.
By the end of the promotional campaign, Raees FBO might be 20+ if the rest of the songs turn out to be good and popular… High expectations from Zaalima..
Kaabil also looks good… There will be a difference of minimum 5 crores on first day with Raees leading.. And first weekend with at least 10 to 12 cr difference and again with Raees leading.. Then content will do the talking..
SRK should be serious now!!!!!!!!!!!Aamir and Salman have marched way ahead!!!! Even akki has a massive linup
Dwarf film is currently scheduled to clash with Avatar2 DANGEROUS
Hope SRK realizes the true charm, actor in him
Hritik ka kya hai???? He has his father, His fathers KRISSH franchise and clouts. Koi nahi to baap hi dega picture.
Kaho naa pyar hai(1st offered to srk), 3 Krissh franchise all father directed, sans father only 2 clean solo hits-Dhom2(Franchise) and Agneepath\
Hritik has age factor, srk doesnt
Most importantly
Hritik has talented FATHER
P.S. SRK knows the best though, he needs 1 universal script and as xzone says nonne should advise a person of his stature
And BTW,Raess will surely open in a 20 cr plus figure in coming days when the buzz will get even higher bcz from the trailer to the songs & the posters! every thing related to Raess has got a fabulous response all over so 20 cr is a sheer possibility now & the only thing it needs is Decent to good WOM bcz even this can flatter the opening upto an extent after the morning shows just bcz of the hype which can counter strike if the movie is bad & will even affect more in clash! So my best of good luck to Raess & all Srkians hope that it bcms a BLOCKBUSTER!
#luv
SRK’s popularity is going down because of crappy movies he has made. While FAN was actually better than HNY, Dilwale.. people have lost faith in the content. Raees doesn’t sound appropriate for children.. so need to see how it is going to attract family crowd.
Wait jolly is going to open aroung 21 crore.. Mark my words
AKSHAY Rocks other sucks
Ok Jaanu 40
Kaabil 90 crore
Raees 120
Jolly llb 2 110-120
Will watch only Akkis Jolly llb 2 no interest , maybe Raees .
Solo release FAN 19cr on first day by same flop star SRK.
But some fools still predicting 18cr first day for RAEES even with KAABIL clash.
KAABIL buzz is so high comparing to Raees. Songs are chartbuster in disco.
KAABIL is going to be watched by youngers because of romantic values.
KAABIL is thriller, romantic and suspense film. Everyone likes suspense thriller films. So kaabil is going to be accepted by audience.
Raees is a mixture of old recent films and Amitabh films. So Raees can’t sustain at box office.
Just to hide negativity of RAEES, some fools are giving higher collection for RAEES.
But fact is that RAEES is going to be disaster
KAABIL – 135cr blockbuster
RAEES – 84cr disaster
Talking abt Kaabil!The second trailer is splendid with terrific BGM & dialogues plus the sad version of Kaabil which is a bad heart ache!I can totally feel it.Songs r not classics but even it hardly matters when they top the charts most of the time.The main problem of Kaabil was the connect with the audience which it initially failed but the 2nd trailer did its work!Everything is fine but buzz is something which is low(if not) decent which makes it weaker in front of Raess but if it is well made & carries good WOM their is a possibility of outgrossing RAESS in longrun.So, All theBest of Good luck for Kaabil to all HR fans!
#luv
Some srk fans r predicting 200cr for raees….such foolish fan base…..
Raees might get rejected just like dilwale and fan…..just wait and watch….it will crap movie just like mhn,mink,oso,ce,hny,fan,dilwale….
Some srk fans expecting 25plus for Rae’s that too with big clash on non holiday.realistic prediction is 17 to 18 as predicted by indicine.waise hi srk ka time bura chal raha hai so don’t expect unrealistic expectations like 25 plus to 30.
Raees may beat kaabil on day1 but lifetime collections of kaabil will b bigger than raees…
@ navin, u Salman fans are not enough ,that’s why u are supporting hrithik.keep dreaming.Raees is going to win the clash.then I want to see your reaction.