In 2015, IndicineFBO was a huge success. Not only did we get a good response from our readers here, but people from the trade were also closely following FBO updates and final predictions – which are made a day before release.
We accurately predicted 36 movies out of 45 movies and 7 of had accuracy of less than 1%.
We hope you continue to support us this year too.
Based on our interaction with those in the trade, reports from audience and our own expectations, we will be predicting the opening day collections of all films that will release in 2016.
- First Day collections of Bollywood films will be predicted soon after the theatrical trailer (or long teaser) of a film is released.
- Predictions could be updated / changed everyday, based on the increase / decrease in buzz, response to songs, television campaign, effectiveness of marketing campaigns etc.
- The final predictions for the opening day collections will be made a day before release – after which the collections will be compared to the official first day collections of the film.
- 15% or lesser difference between our prediction and actual collection will be considered ‘Fairly accurate’ prediction.
- 10% or lesser difference between our prediction and actual collection will be considered to be ‘Accurate’.
| Movie | Prediction | Official | |
| Wazir | 4.4 | 5.61 | + 27%, In accurate |
| Airlift | 10.9 | 12.35 | + 13%, Accurate |
| Kya Kool Hai Hum 3 | 9.3 | 8.15 | - 12%, Accurate |
| Mastizaade | 6.1 | 5.59 | - 8%, Accurate |
| Saala Khadoos | 2.2 | 2.19 | 0%, Accurate |
| Ghayal Once Again | 6.4 | 7.2 | + 12%, Accurate |
| Sanam Re | 5.5 | 5.04 | - 8%, Accurate |
| Fitoor | 5.2 | 3.61 | - 30%, Inaccurate |
| Neerja | 4.3 | 4.7 | + 8%, Accurate |
| Jai Gangajaal | 5.2 | 5.5 | + 6%, Accurate |
| Kapoor & Sons | 5.8 | 6.85 | + 18%, Inaccurate |
| Rocky Handsome | 6.3 | 5.39 | - 14%, Accurate |
| Ki and Ka | 6.3 | 7.27 | + 16%, Inaccurate |
| Fan | 21.9 | 19.2 | - 12%, Accurate |
| Baaghi | 9.4 | 11.94 | + 27%, Inaccurate |
| Azhar | 7.5 | 6.3 | - 16%, Inaccurate |
| Sarbjit | 4.2 | 3.69 | - 12%, Accurate |
| Housefull 3 | 17.4 | 15.21 | - 12%, Accurate |
| Udta Punjab | 8.9 | 10.05 | - 13%, Accurate |
| Sultan | 38.5 | 36.54 | - 5%, Accurate |
| Great Grand Masti | 5.8 | 2.5 | - 56%, Inaccurate |
| Dishoom | 9.8 | 11.02 | +12%, Accurate |
| Mohenjo Daro | 10.7 | 8.87 | - 17%, Inaccurate |
| Rustom | 12.6 | 14.11 | +12%, Accurate |
| Happy Bhaag Jayegi | 2.1 | 2.32 | +10%, Accurate |
| A Flying Jatt | 8.5 | 7.11 | - 16%, Inaccurate |
| Baar Baar Dekho | 9.1 | 6.81 | - 25%, Inaccurate |
| Freaky Ali | 2.4 | 2.5 | +4%, Accurate |
| Pink | 4.5 | 4.32 | -4%, Accurate |
| Raaz Reboot | 5.2 | 6.31 | + 21%, Inaccurate |
| MS Dhoni | 20.1 | 21.6 | +7%, Accurate |
| Mirzya | 4.0 | 2.2 | - 45%, Inaccurate |
| Shivaay | 10.7 | 10.24 | -4%, Accurate |
| ADHM | 12.4 | 13.3 | +7%, Accurate |
| Force 2 | 5.8 | 6.05 | +4%, Accurate |
| Dear Zindagi | 9.7 | 8.75 | -10%, Accurate |
| Kahaani 2 | 4.5 | 4.25 | -5%, Accurate |
| Befikre | 10.5 | 10.36 | -1%, Accurate |
| Dangal | 28.6 | 29.78 | +4%, Accurate |
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my prediction first day…
Airlift : 12 cr
Wazir : 6 cr
Gayal : 4 cr
Kkh3 : 6 cr
Mastizade : 5.5 cr
Hm.
biggest chance of airlift doing 15 cr plus .
Don’t take it as a positive cmnt. It’s very
sensible prediction…
If airlift will do 15 cr nd crap KSKHH only 4crs means 19 cr
on day one on a non holiday? ?
Airlift > 15cr
KSKHH >3 cr
2016 best year for Akki…
Akki back…
Akki 2007 = 2016….
Airlift strong content movie.. proud of indian
waiting for Disaster year for youngistan…
waiting for sunny Mastizaade…
This year only for my boy Arjun kappor
ki & ka 100 cr
Half girlfriend 100 cr
Youngistan
captain : Ranbeer.
wise captain : Ranveer..
this year my captain Ranbeer will defeate Ajay shivay…
best predictions…
Wazir : 60 cr
Airlift : 70 cr
kkh3 : 75 cr
Mastizaade : 50 cr
fitoor : 100 cr
kappor & sons : 120 cr
ki & ka : 140 cr
fan : 200 cr
housefull 3 : 99 cr
@indicine
Airlift budget?
Waiting Ranbeer kappor Adhm
biggest blockbuster for Diwali…
karan johar returns…
Nice article..if ghayal does get 5.6cr opening then i guess it should be a hit. Do u have any news about its budget ?
FBO 2016 will be bigger and better..and this is just the beginning. All the best
Aashu da sultaan@, I dont agree that airlift is only for metro cities, imo indians are the most patriotic people, be it masses or metro cities, everyone will accept the movie if it is really well made patriotic film, cuz each of us is patriots and we all love our country and we will watch movies that makes us proud of our country
Congratz Indicine!! u guys do a fab job!! Expecting some suprises this year for sure!! Sultan, Dangal, Raees, Fan, Mohenjdaro!!! these will be the major money spinners!!
my prediction for Biggies and interesting films
1.Wazir 5cr
2.Mastizade 6cr
3.airlift 9cr
4.Fitoor 5cr
5.SAnam re 4cr
6.grand masti 14cr
7.Fan 22cr
8.Baaghi 10cr
9.flying jhaat 8cr
10.half girlfriend 20cr
11.rock on 2 15cr
12.mohejosaro 35cr
13.Sultan if clash 32cr if solo 48cr
14.Raees if clash 14cr if solo 32cr
15.Befikre 25cr
16.Shivaay 18cr
17.ADHM 15cr
18.Dangal 45cr
19.Bahubali 2 55cr all language
@indicine how is the buzz for Airlift in class circuits of India I.e Mysore…???
And overall…??? Plz ans
I won’t argue about Airlift opening since some of Akki films recently have dissapointed me i just hope it has a good content coz this film will completely depend on WOM to be a success.
KKHH 3 is a bold prediction although recently released adults films have perfomed very so i won’t be suprised
Airlift lifetime =Grand masti 1 st week
I think Indicine is in trauma after the debacle of crappy new year & crapwale… They r afraid of doing prediction for pankha n rice even after their trailer released way back in 2015…
Let the Big Boys come I will predict at that time !!!!!!!!!! :D
Jai Gangaajal will be a super hit movie bcoz of Priyanka chopra n the content n music also with direction of prakash jha
I won’t be surprised if Kkhh3 emerges the most surprised and unexpected package for January 2016. Don’t know much about Airlift apart from its release date but aware of the buzz Kkhh3 is carrying especially due to its genre which identical movies were said to be surprised super hits like hate love story, pkp2 and grande masti which surprisingly I hvnt watched any!
I think I will opt for Wazir.. Farhan is one of my secret admirer and his acting is just so natural while am watching Fitoor because of Ever green madame Rukh Rukh Rukh areh baba rukh…lol yup…cute song from her career 1st superhit movie. Tabu Begum!!!
Ghayal will open above 8 crores. Don’t ignore the buzz.
airlift will be in range of 11-12 cr.. and also saala khadoos will be in range of 4.5-5cr
Very good predictions team @indicine. Fully agree.
Actually masterpiece like airlift deserves 15cr+ opening. But due to the presence of ‘panouti’ Kumar its opening day collections will be less than 10cr!!!
@bicky:
And today Ranveer singh is far ahead of your queen as he is single handedly thrashing multistarer excusewale!!!
in 2016 I will also predict the first day collection of movies.
my prediction for wazir is 4.75cr
let’s see this year who is more accurate me or indicine.
current score
me – 0
indicine – 0
Indicine u should increase fan fbo from 21 to 25 don’t understimate srk plus great content
Update for Dangal….