Dangal is the big release this week and it cannot get bigger than an Aamir Khan film during the biggest weekend of the year. The superstar returns 2 years after delivering a classic, PK, which was a big success both critically and commercially. Unlike some of his last few films, Dangal does not have a acclaimed director like Rajkumar Hirani nor does it carry franchise value like Dhoom 3.
Factors in favour of Dangal:
- Aamir Khan: How can it not be the single biggest factor? Dangal has absolutely no face value apart from the towering presence of Aamir Khan. The director of the film, Nitesh Tiwari, has previously directed films like Chillar Party and Bhoothnath Returns. The rest of the cast is unknown with Sakshi Tanwar the only known face due to some of her popular television shows.
- Audience trust: No other star-actor in the history of Indian Cinema has been able to consistently deliver quality films like Aamir Khan. The belief that if a film features Aamir in the lead, it has to be good.. plays a huge role in the actor getting a solid initial at the box office.
- Universal appeal: During times when top directors like Aditya Chopra are directing films that can only be watched by a minuscule section of the audience, Dangal is a film that is likely to celebrate the rural beauty and heart of the country. This ensures that almost every section of the audience can watch and enjoy Dangal.
- Promos: Almost all promos that have released so far have worked.
Factors against Dangal:
- Commercial aspect: The only factor that could hold back Dangal is the fact that the film is not very colourful nor is it an out-and-out commercial entertainer. It’s a sports-film like Chak De India, which could hold the film back on Friday morning – before the word-of-mouth comes into play.
- Demonetisation: The impact of demonetisation has reduced quite considerably in the last few weeks, but it could affect the business of Dangal at teh smaller centres.
IndicineFBO: We expect Dangal to collect Rs 28.6 crore on its opening day at the box office. The reviews are out and Dangal is one of the most critically acclaimed films of 2016. The pre-release positivity has also ensured that the advance booking, which was at Sultan’s level a couple of days ago, has caught up almost all over. We expect Dangal to take the second best opening of the year after Sultan and then pick up evening onwards depending on how the audience take to the film.
Stay tuned for our IndicineLBO prediction on Sunday.
| Movie | Prediction | Official | |
| Wazir | 4.4 | 5.61 | + 27%, In accurate |
| Airlift | 10.9 | 12.35 | + 13%, Accurate |
| Kya Kool Hai Hum 3 | 9.3 | 8.15 | - 12%, Accurate |
| Mastizaade | 6.1 | 5.59 | - 8%, Accurate |
| Saala Khadoos | 2.2 | 2.19 | 0%, Accurate |
| Ghayal Once Again | 6.4 | 7.2 | + 12%, Accurate |
| Sanam Re | 5.5 | 5.04 | - 8%, Accurate |
| Fitoor | 5.2 | 3.61 | - 30%, Inaccurate |
| Neerja | 4.3 | 4.7 | + 8%, Accurate |
| Jai Gangajaal | 5.2 | 5.5 | + 6%, Accurate |
| Kapoor & Sons | 5.8 | 6.85 | + 18%, Inaccurate |
| Rocky Handsome | 6.3 | 5.39 | - 14%, Accurate |
| Ki and Ka | 6.3 | 7.27 | + 16%, Inaccurate |
| Fan | 21.9 | 19.2 | - 12%, Accurate |
| Baaghi | 9.4 | 11.94 | + 27%, Inaccurate |
| Azhar | 7.5 | 6.3 | - 16%, Inaccurate |
| Sarbjit | 4.2 | 3.69 | - 12%, Accurate |
| Housefull 3 | 17.4 | 15.21 | - 12%, Accurate |
| Udta Punjab | 8.9 | 10.05 | - 13%, Accurate |
| Sultan | 38.5 | 36.54 | - 5%, Accurate |
| Great Grand Masti | 5.8 | 2.5 | - 56%, Inaccurate |
| Dishoom | 9.8 | 11.02 | +12%, Accurate |
| Mohenjo Daro | 10.7 | 8.87 | - 17%, Inaccurate |
| Rustom | 12.6 | 14.11 | +12%, Accurate |
| Happy Bhaag Jayegi | 2.1 | 2.32 | +10%, Accurate |
| A Flying Jatt | 8.5 | 7.11 | - 16%, Inaccurate |
| Baar Baar Dekho | 9.1 | 6.81 | - 25%, Inaccurate |
| Freaky Ali | 2.4 | 2.5 | +4%, Accurate |
| Pink | 4.5 | 4.32 | -4%, Accurate |
| Raaz Reboot | 5.2 | 6.31 | + 21%, Inaccurate |
| MS Dhoni | 20.1 | 21.6 | +7%, Accurate |
| Mirzya | 4.0 | 2.2 | - 45%, Inaccurate |
| Shivaay | 10.7 | 10.24 | -4%, Accurate |
| ADHM | 12.4 | 13.3 | +7%, Accurate |
| Force 2 | 5.8 | 6.05 | +4%, Accurate |
| Dear Zindagi | 9.7 | 8.75 | -10%, Accurate |
| Kahaani 2 | 4.5 | 4.25 | -5%, Accurate |
| Befikre | 10.5 | 10.36 | -1%, Accurate |
| Dangal | 28.6 | 29.78 | +4%, Accurate |
If it opens to 29 Cr then it would definitely get to 280 Cr total. If demonitisation was not an issue and Christmas , new year not falling on Sunday then HGTOY was sure shot. However 280 Cr in these conditions is almost 330 without them..
Masterpiece from a perfectionist!!! take a bow!!!
Does anybody notice?
Kaabil’s first day prediction showing another jump !
My prediction is 27cr
Dangal will rock the records just like Ghajini, 3 Idiots, Dhoom:3 & PK. Destined for glory.
Common factor: Aamir ‘ISI Mark’ Khan
all the best to aamir for dangal,hope it does very well…indicine only 11.6 for jolly llb 2 ,are u serious?,its high time u start underestimating him
its will 26 cr
First day 28cr to 30cr
weekend 110cr
week 200cr
lifetime will be 330cr to 350cr
mega atbb
Blockbuster
Love you so much Aamir khan sir ur the best actor in the world
Dangal has received best reviews so for for any Bollywood movie in a decade.want it to open a new club 400 cr BT I know its too difficult.anyways it already became a masterpiece and cult status.wish all d best for box office collection.
My Prediction for Dangal Opening is: 25.60 Crores.
@indicine, mark this.
Fan + Dear Zindagi will be crossed in 5 days.
Your prediction 90% accurate this year, so this one too accurate.
I dont need promo nor reviews to watch an aamir khan’s film. The man is the saving grace of a rather comical bollywood. Every year i reserve a day from work and study for an aamir movie. From A big Akshay fan
Good but 30 cr Hona Chahiye.
#Death Ranger
I won’t even predict for this flop film tagged as classics by paid critics. All the critics were paid their amount right at the entrance of the theatre where the preview of the film was held.
Make entertaining films, dont make the boring. Despite of rocking reviews, it will sink at the BO. Because neutral audiences who have watched it say the film is flat and boring throughout.. Save your money for Kaabil, Raees and Jolly llb2
my predication of dangal first day is 27 cr
2 nd day 32 cr
3 rd day 44 cr
lifetime 311 cr
28.6 Crores is a underwhelming first day expectation for Dangal. Come on, this is Aamir not some jaywalker Shahrukh. Learn to expect more from classy people. Inaccurate prediction by 25%-30%.
I think movie will end at 330-350cr. Highest single day will be Sunday with around 39-41cr
A half actor who has ditched a woman after impregnating her, a person who has disowned his love-child and a person who fought with his father and sent his brother to mental asylum and behind bars for family properties is today roaming as a saint, someone working for women empowerment and a perfectionist!! We are letting it happen! What kind of a world are we living in?
And what’s wrong with people? We are calling forcing a man’s dream on girl children disregarding their wishes and beating them when the girls are reluctant to be wrestlers as women empowerment? Stupid people’s fake behaviours!!
This will be 100% accurate prediction…
Just can’t imagine what Sunday will be like, humongous 45 crores.
lol wont touch 10 crores on day 1 this non actors film will flop badly
@indicine .. you’re never accurate by 0%…. you have to be very careful before you update predictions. ..
In 3 Idiots, he preaches that a youth should pursue a field of study and a career that they really enjoy doing them. He even went on to convince Farhan’s father about Farhan’s interest.
Then, again, in a film like Dangal, he enforces his ambition to win something (which he could not in his lifetime) on his daughters (which they don’t enjoy when they were young) in the name of women empowerment. For a father, women empowerment means enforcing his ambitions on his daughters when he could not have a son to make his dreams come true. Irony!
One upon a time, this perfaketionist criticized Amitji for his character in Black. He criticized Amitji & SLB for how they showed and treated the character of Rani in the movie. He said that Amitji beating Rani in the film could wrong messages to people.
Now he is doing the same thing with his daughters and being harsh with them just to make them wrestlers to make his dreams come true. Any worse Dogla than him???????
In 3 Idiots, he preaches that a youth should pursue a field of study and a career that they really enjoy doing them. He even went on to convince Farhan’s father about Farhan’s interest.
Isse bada dogla, duniya mein aur koi hai???????
In 3 Idiots, he preaches that a youth should pursue a field of study and a career that they really enjoy doing them. He even went on to convince Farhan’s father about Farhan’s interest.
Then, again, in a film like Dangal, he enforces his ambition to win something (which he could not in his lifetime) on his daughters (which they don’t enjoy when they were young) in the name of women empowerment. For a father, women empowerment means enforcing his ambitions on his daughters when he could not have a son to make his dreams come true. Irony!
One upon a time, this perfaketionist criticized Amitji for his character in Black. He criticized Amitji & SLB for how they showed and treated the character of Rani in the movie. He said that Amitji beating Rani in the film could wrong messages to people.
Now he is doing the same thing with his daughters and being harsh with them just to make them wrestlers to make his dreams come true. Any worse Dogla than him???????
In 3 Idiots, he preaches that a youth should pursue a field of study and a career that they really enjoy doing them. He even went on to convince Farhan’s father about Farhan’s interest.
Isse bada dogla, duniya mein aur koi hai????
Indicine you underestimated raees…..??? Raees will be +20 crs …… 100% sure indicine
After Raju Hirani’s 3 Idiots, he gave boring film like Talaash and blamed the audiences when it failed to perform well.
Now, after Raju Hirani’s PK, he is coming with yet another boring film like Dangal in the name of women empowerment. When it fails to become a hit, he will again blame the audiences for their taste. Such a fake person!!!!!!!
I believe aamir
and also salman
film that this film will be entetaineng
but srk film I even don’t believed when critics say that srk film is masterpiece
like they called fan
every critics gave 4 star to fan
and every body knows that fan is a crap except some srk paid chamachas