Box office Prospect of Raees and Highest Grosser of 2016

This question was asked on the #AskIndicine QnA session dated 8th May 2016. This page has been created to discuss. You can read the full QnA here.

Q. How are the box office prospects of Raees looking now? Is it still being seen as a potential bumper openers on a Friday morning by the trade??

A. Too early to talk about Raees right now. There is still quite a bit of uncertainty around the release of the film. Are the makers willing to take on a film like Hrithik’s Kaabil? If Mohenjo Daro goes on to be a huge hit at the box office, that will completely change the way the trade would look at the clash – Hrithik would then have a upper hand. How will Excel market the film? Are they going to lie low for a while, then release the trailer a couple of months before – which wouldn’t be a great idea because the teaser was released in July last year. Too many questions at the moment. There needs to be clarity over these questions, because we even begin to talk about opening number on Friday. Releasing on Eid against Sultan was probably a better idea than pushing your film by nearly 7 months. Bakrid (September 9) was the best date.

Best date for Raees?

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Q. According to you, which movie will be Highest Grosser of 2016 - Sultan? Mohenjo Daro? Shivaay? Raees (if on Bakrid)? Dangal?

A. For highest grosser of the year, it’s the content (story, writing and direction etc) that are more important because almost all films that you mentioned does feature a top star. Mohenjo Daro and Shivaay are two films that can surprise and go on to be huge grossers – because the genre of myth / history / costume has received a big boost with films like Baahubali and Bajirao Mastani. Sultan and Dangal are obviously the top contenders because of the release period and two of the biggest stars in the industry. We wouldn’t want to include Raees in this because it’s officially scheduled to be out in 2017.

To make the QnA a little more interesting and interactive, we will add more polls. You can request for polls in the comments section. Do note, the decision to add the poll or not is completely upto us  - we do not want to overdo the poll thing.

Which film will be the highest grosser?

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123 Comments

  • Shivaay is overrated movie. Ajay is brilliant but his films hardly been recognised before trailers. He added some face value but not that Superstar kind. Don’t want to degrade him, he is doing only few films now, Shivaay sounds average to me. Yes Rohit Shetty with him actually can make things huge.
    Anyway one of the best QnA session for me.

  • Where are @fasalkerla and @FAN_THE 500 CR gone these days? Have they locked themselves in a cupboard till the release of Huggies? High time for SRK to start playing father roles to Salman Khan now?

  • Ok @Indicine according to you
    From 1995-99
    SRK=)
    movies=18
    Atbb/bb=3
    superhits/hits/semihits=2
    above average/average/below average =6
    flops=7
    SALMAN=)
    movies=16
    attb/bb=3
    superhits/hits/semihits=6
    above average/average/below average=2
    flops=5
    NOW WHO WAS #1 BACK THEN FROM 1995-99??CLARIFY

  • virat kohli @8.19 pm dude mohenjodaro prediction by you is 90 crores ?? ohhhh ha ha in dreams .. bcoz it is clashing with chhhuusssa huua chhustomm which will not finf any trace in front of mohenjodaro . MD IN FACT will be benefitted by chustom as those who go to multiplexex to watch chustom will end up watching mohenjodaro earlier MD collections would have been 300 crores now MD collections will be 400 crores for sure and chustom will be outrightly rejected this is the truth .. i can bet on this ……chustom – 40 crores lifetime MD – 400 CRORES MINIMUM hrithik roshan forever…….. in fact i invite to become a hrithikian and join we hrithikians ..

  • @virat kohli, actually south remakes, kabir khan saved salman 1/4 khan’s career as none of his movies were able to cross 10 cr life time in last decade. Shame. Most of his so called hits had him in supporting role. We will see salman 1/4 khan’s stardom without south remake, kabir khan, etc. So dont blabber much. Dangal’s frst 5 days collections will be more than salman 1/4 khan’s loltan’s life time collections.

  • This year highest grossers

    1. Dangal – 400 cr (if content as great as 3 idiots)

    2. Mohenjo Daro- 250 cr +
    3. Loltan- 145 cr (no kabir khan, harshali, south remake)
    4. Shivaay- 142 cr
    5 housefull 3- 110 cr
    6. ADM- 105 cr
    7. Rustam- 100 cr
    8. Rangoon – 95 cr
    9. Baar Baar Dekho- 90 cr
    10. Flying Jet- 85 cr+

  • Either SULTAN or Dangal will be the highest grosser of the year. No chance any other tiny star’s movie to achieve the milestone.

  • @virat kohli:

    Aamir is also a big star just like our Megastar Bhai. He has nothing to prove.

  • @indicine 60-70% of Indian people are living in vollages and most of them are salman and aamir and akshay fans.it is very rare u found srk & hr fans there.according to social media,city Srk may be 2Nd most fan following.but in real Salman,aamir,Akshay,Ajay/Srk.but now srk overtakes ajay but 90’s ajay have more following than srk.

  • @aman don’t waste your time. Most of the others are voted by Akki fans. Hard to digest seeing Greek God and Ajay movies being voted with faith. They don’t know the people voting are adults not kids. Theydon’t see what we see. Realistically it’s
    Sultan
    Mohenjo
    Shivaay.
    Suprises me most is the faith people have on Ajays 1st directorial movie as producers and actor so high despite clash.
    @Zo me and you are not Ajay fan but why degrade him. Accomplished everything in successful career could have decided to resign but still making our movies at least to compete with I international stage like mohenjo. Lots of Hollywood gurus are there assisting why not wish it luck. Degrade but how? Except you personally hate him that’s a different issue entirely.
    I will support shivaay definitely I like the words indicune used and Bahubali director after visiting his sets. Forget that.
    Still my pick Sultan mohenjo shivaay. Ajay is my 3rd best after Greek king of mass Salman and king of versatility Ajay

  • If Aamir Khan is releasing his film in Christmas then it will be my biggest bet for the highest grosser of that particular year…sultan can be 2nd..but u never know..lets see..

  • Dear bhai fans, Slaman did not get the accolodes for all those hits and BBs, get it?!
    HAHK was Madhuri Dixit movie, Salman was supporting cast, or rather heroine.

  • Tru actor will b there like Amit g and dilip g but non actor should be go coz he having max 2 years after physic and copy will not work ….only talent ???

  • @ srk – if hahk was madhuri’s movir then your srk chased madhuri for long 14 years. but who was main in Ddlj- Amrish puri.

  • Obviously, it is Sultan that will be the biggest blockbuster of 2016 without any doubt.
    It will earn 250 crores minimum…

  • @virat kohli
    Mr, Aamir Khan is bigger star than your bhai
    Lallu is nothing without support of Aamir sir and Eid
    DANGAL will be biggest grosser of all time
    1000 crs sure shot even HF3 will collect more than lultan

  • What everyone including ‘Indicine’ has failed to understand is ‘Raees’ has been postponed mainly due to the fact that it was not having sufficinent numbers of screens against Sultan rather than the makers’ concern about the BO. So, how do you guys expect the makers to release it when it is not having enough screens.

    Trade and Exhibitors want only Sultan this Eid. So they will allocate this film only. Get this on your head!!!

  • My predictions for some of THE BIGGEST FILMS OF 2016 ;

    Fan [S] 85 Cr?Crap/Bad
    Excellent .. 138 Cr
    Mixed .. 97 Cr

    Houseful 3 [S]
    Excellent .. 150 Cr
    Mixed .. 105 Cr

    Sultan [S]
    Excellent .. 307 Cr
    Mixed .. 215 Cr
    (Due to Huge Eid period having three big days i.e Jagarnath Puja, Eid & Baasi Eid and this time no Bajrangi case, so content will not click)

    Rustom [C]
    Excellent .. 107 Cr
    Mixed .. 75 Cr

    MOHENJO DARO [C]
    Excellent .. 310 Cr
    Mixed .. 217 Cr

    Shivaay [C]
    Excellent .. 180 Cr
    Mixed .. 126 Cr

    ADHM [C]
    Excellent .. 120 Cr
    Mixed .. 84 Cr

    Dangal [S]
    Excellent .. 243 Cr
    Mixed .. 170 Cr
    (Due to Winder holidays including big holidays like Pre-Xmas market on 24, Xmas on 25, Good bye Year on 31, New Year on 1 that always start from 24 Dec & end to 1st week of January)
    .
    .
    ? My predictions for some of THE BIGGEST FILMS OF 2016 are based on all the factors that a film is releasing with like [S]=Solo, Non holidays, Non EDX Holidays, EDX holidays & Big [C]=Clashes.

  • @prashant:
    Even in his WORSTEST period Bhai managed to give HGOTY (eg- no entry). But your 80cr club’s Megastar has been struggling for the same since last 9 years.
    Have anything to say???

  • Madhuri was bigger than Lallu in 90s. In other article I post also same. Madhuri name in credit casts appeared before Salman not King and Perfectionist Aamir.

    Dil. Starring Aamir Khan Madhuri

    Saajan. Starring Sanjay Dutt Madhuri Salman

    HAHK. Starring Madhuri ,Salman

    Aarzoo. Starring Madhuri Akshay Saif

    DTPH. Starring SRK, madhuri karishma

    YRHPK. Starring Ajay, madhuri Preity.

    Lallu tards accept no harm Salman in 90s was a not a big star. All HAIL KING.

  • 90s
    Sunny Deol
    SRK
    Govinda
    Ajay
    Aamir
    Suniel
    Akshay
    Salman
    Saif.
    Go to box office India forum. See all the answers

  • @Mohmovies_8:54 pm :
    U r right…. Bhai is way ahed of haklu in 90’s decade with most superhits/bbs/atbbs/hgotys/hgotd…. But kya hai na indicine apne haklu maharaj ke bohot bade chamche oops sorry fan hai so they are favoring him in his struggling days!!!!

  • This Man deserve lots of Praises Ajay Devgn even with clash and a small boy front of bigger banners producers directors he is even competiting with likes of Dangal MD Sultan. No motion teaser yet remember. True indicine Respect for Ajay Devgan. The man with more art movies than commercial but still has nothing to prove and being mentioned with names like Amitabh speaks a lot about him. Once again Respect.
    This Diwali only Shivaay???

    Eid is going to witness the biggest collection ever in history of bollywood.
    Dangal and Sultan will battle it out but as a Salman fan all cards on Sultan.

    Hgoty
    Sultan
    Dangal
    Mohenjodaro
    Shivaay
    Raees
    Adhm
    Housefull 3
    Dishoom
    #Xavier from Goa

  • @ jabra- same comment here! watch 2002’s hum tumhare hai sanam, Credits-
    Salman khan
    Shahrukh Khan
    Madhuri dixit.

  • i think
    Raees positive case
    90 cr
    100 cr impossible
    if negative case
    24.08 cr lifetime
    .
    .
    .
    because
    SRK new join
    80 cr club

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