The much-delayed Bombay Velvet releases in theatres tomorrow and the stakes are incredibly high. The Ranbir Kapoor starrer is by far the costliest film of the year and recovery won’t be easy if the opening day business is anything less than Rs 15 crore.
Unfortunately, the pre-release excitement amongst the audience, which is very important for a big budget film like Bombay Velvet, is completely missing. Even the advance booking is much lower than what it should be for a film costing Rs 110 crore to make and promote. The theatrical trailer wasn’t received well, music hasn’t clicked and the film itself is unlikely to hold any appeal outside the main metro cities.
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The only hope is Ranbir Kapoor, who commands a huge fan-following amongst the youth. Even with his star power, Bombay Velvet is unlikely to survive beyond a day or two, if the content isn’t good enough.
As part of our #IndicineFBO prediction, we expect Bombay Velvet to collect Rs 9.5 crore on Day 1.
Bombay Velvet Box Office Predictions
IF VERY GOOD (excellent word-of-mouth)
- Day 1 – 10 cr
- Day 2 - 13 cr
- Day 3 - 15 cr
- Weekend - 38 cr
- Final - 100 crore+ (Average)
IF AVERAGE (mixed response)
- Day 1 - 9.5 cr
- Day 2 - 10.5 cr
- Day 3 - 12 cr
- Weekend – 32 cr
- Final - 55 crore (Disaster / Flop)
IF BAD (worst case scenario)
- Day 1 - 9 cr
- Day 2 - 8 cr
- Day 3 - 9 cr
- Weekend - 26 cr
- Final - 45 crore (Disaster)
The content of Bombay Velvet would have to be extra-ordinarily good for the film to have any chance of recovering costs and even then it would find it difficult. The costs are too high for a film with such limited appeal.
#IndicineFBO Prediction and Result table below
| Movie | Prediction | Official | |
| Tevar | 6.5 | 7.05 cr | + 8% |
| Alone | 4 | 3.50 cr | - 12% |
| Hawaizaada | 1.25 | 0.6 cr | - 52% |
| Khamoshiyan | 1.75 | 1.92 cr | + 9% |
| Baby | 8.5 | 9.30 cr | + 9% |
| Dolly Ki Doli | 1.6 | 1.75 cr | + 9% |
| Shamitabh | 4.0 | 3.5 cr | - 12% |
| Roy | 8.5 | 10.4 | + 22% |
| Badlapur | 6.5 | 7 cr | + 7% |
| Dum Laga Ke Haisha | 1.25 | 1.1 | - 12% |
| Ab Tak Chhappan 2 | 1.1 | 1.25 | + 13% |
| NH10 | 2.75 | 3.35 | + 22% |
| Detective Byomkesh Bakshy | 4.5 | 4.25 | - 5% |
| Ek Paheli Leela | 5.25 | 5.30 | + 1% |
| Mr X | 4.2 | 4.5 | + 7% |
| Margarita With A Straw | 0.2 | 0.23 | + 1% |
| Gabbar Is Back | 13 | 13.05 | 0% |
| Piku | 5.5 | 5.32 | - 3% |
| Bombay Velvet | 9.5 | 5.2 | - 45% |
| Tanu Weds Manu Returns | 7.05 | 8.85 | + 25% |
| Welcome To Karachi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0% |
| Dil Dhadakne Do | 9.5 | 10.53 | + 11% |
| Hamari Adhuri Kahani | 5.75 | 5.04 | - 12% |
| ABCD 2 | 12.5 | 14.3 | + 14% |
| Bajrangi Bhaijaan | 30.4 | 27.25 | - 10% |
| Drishyam | 5.25 | 5.3 | + 1% |
| Bangistan | 2.5 | 1.1 | - 56% |
| Brothers | 15.5 | 15.2 | - 2% |
| All Is Well | 3.1 | 2.9 | - 6% |
| Manjhi | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0% |
| Phantom | 7.6 | 8.46 | 11% |
| Welcome Back | 11.5 | 14.35 | + 24% |
| Hero | 7.5 | 6.85 | - 8% |
| Katti Batti | 4.6 | 5.28 | - 14% |
| Calendar Girls | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0% |
| Kis Kisko Pyaar Karoon | 4.5 | 10.15 | + 125% |
| Singh Is Bling | 18.6 | 20.67 | +11% |
| Talvar | 3.3 | 3.0 | -9% |
| Jazbaa | 4.5 | 4.23 | -6% |
| Pyaar Ka Punchnama 2 | 3.3 | 6.80 | + 103% |
| Shaandaar | 14.7 | 13.1 | -11% |
| Prem Ratan Dhan Payo | 43.6 | 41.75 | -4% |
| Tamasha | 11.7 | 10.87 | 7% |
| Hate Story 3 | 9.4 | 9.72 | 3% |
| Dilwale | 25.2 | 21 | - 16% |
| Bajirao Mastani | 11.5 | 12.8 | + 11% |
BV sureshot cross 13cr 1st day and 75cr lifetime
@Heroinepanti who are you???
Gabbar pliku and now this…disasters in a row
@ indicine – you wrote very good, average and bad word of mouth but you missed good word of mouth. in my opinion. if word of moth is very good then 120 plus and verdict semi hit/above average, if good 100 plus verdict average. if average 60 verdict- flop and if bad 45 crore verdict- besharam disaster.
1 st weekend 40-50cr
if good lifetime 110cr
if average 80 cr
if bad 65 cr
Ranbir kapoor is 5th Mega Star in bollywood.
after 3 khans and Hrithik.
I bet .This time indicine’s prediction will wrong.
(worst case scenario)
Bombay Velvet lifetime 65cr.
because of 5th Mega Star.
this film has SRK 120cr
Salman 115cr
Hrithik 105cr
Aamir 95cr
Akshay 55cr
Ajay 50cr
This figures in worst case scenario.
Hats off to Indian judiciary system!! Two major crimes happend in 2002 in India…. One has get away and became prime minister of India and other became a super star!!! No one cares life of the innocents!! It’s all about money and relations with major business people and spilling some pea nuts to media!! That’s all you need to become hero from zero!
Aamir 250-300 crore
Salman 200-250 crore
SRK 200-250 crore
Hrithik 200-250 crore
Akshay 100-150 crore
Ajay 100-150 crore