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Loading ...Q. Raees is releasing on 25th January in the morning, but Kaabil will be evening shows (6pm). What will be the collections of Raees 1st day and Kaabil paid previews?
A. It’s not possible for Raees to release in the morning and Kaabil in the evening. Both films should eventually release in the morning itself, that’s how the exhibitors and distributors would like it to be. As for the collections on Day 1, it won’t be a holiday release, but more like a non-holiday Saturday release. The reason for releasing the film a day before the holiday is to take advantage of night shows. When the following day (in this case Republic Day) is a holiday, the night shows on the previous day usually tends to have higher occupancy. It’s exactly the reason why most multiplex films show growth on Saturday. We are expecting the two films combined to share around 30 crore, with Raees leading at this point in time.
Q. If Dangal gets Tax Free Status across India or in 5+ States, do you think Dangal can challenge PK’s lifetime Collection?
A. The central government doesn’t decide entertainment tax exemption, it comes under the state government. So even if the film gets tax free status in a couple of major states, it should benefit. It’ll obviously become easier for the film to reach PK, but that’s not a certainty because the word-of-mouth has to be extraordinary. Also, PK had several extra holidays, whereas Dangal doesn’t really get any advantage because both Christmas and New Year falls on Sunday this year.
Q. In the next year, which Hollywood films can be a threat to Bollywood?
A. The top picks would be Fast and Furious 8 and Spiderman Homecoming. Trailer of Spiderman below
Q. What’s your prediction on the combined collection of Raees and Kaabil?
A. It’s not a big weekend and the family audience may not come for both films. Ticket prices too, may not be at festive rates. So, from what we’ve seen so far, we expect both films to collect somewhere in the range of Rs 200 crore combined!
Q. What are the chances of SRK to be top again bcoz he is doing 5 movies back to back Raees, With Anushka(The Ring), The dwarf movie, Aditya Chopra’s next, Don 3. They look promising and have potential to rock box office?
A. For any actor to reach the top – three things are very important apart from stardom. One, the ability to get the big festive weekends (Eid, Christmas). Two, ensuring that your film gets a solo release. And three, the film has to be good and universally appealing. Raees fails on all three counts, The Ring has a better chance but romantic films shot overseas may not have the potential to cross 200. Don 3 will find it difficult too, unless they move away and make it commercial and massy. The best chance is with the Aanand L Rai film.
Also, unless the form of the Top 2 dips, SRK needs 2-3 major grossers to reclaim the top spot. Salman and Aamir have really upped the game in the last 6-7 years, making it almost impossible for anyone to touch them. At the domestic box office, there is currently a huge gap between those two and the rest.
Q. What is status of Shahid Kapoor in Bollywood with respect to box-office, crowd puller , star power in different parts of world , acting talent?
A. He scores a 10 in acting talent, but very little in the other three. Potential has always been there, but so many films with Vishal Bhardwaj can be disastrous for anyones career – from a box office point of view, of course.
Q. No poster or trailer for Commando 2 wasn’t it supposed to be the first 2017 release. Is it postponed or shelved.
A. Not shelved, but postponed to March 3rd 2017.
Q. Every where all started to predict Top 10 Movies of 2017.. So ur one of the most popular bollywood site in net..So whats which are the 10 films you expect to make it big in Box office next year?
A. We had already done an article on the most awaited films of 2017. Our official LBO prediction for 2017 is in the works, we have compiled data from several people from the trade. It should be out soon. Thanks for your interest.
Q. What has been the response to Raees trailer? And please tell me the biggest initial day crowdpullers of Hindi cinema CURRENTLY in domestic box office as well as overseas.
A. Response is good, detailed article on trade and audience response is being worked on. Biggest crowd-pullers domestic is Salman Khan, overseas Shah Rukh Khan.
Q. Approximate Screen counts for Raees and Kaabil. I know the question is bit early but requesting estimates based on the trailer response of both the movies.
A. Raees should get around 2700-2800 screens, while Kaabil might release on 2400-2500 screens.
Q. Since the trailer of Raees has received positive response from audience, its for sure that SRK starrer will take a much better opening than Kabil if both come since the morning shows…But do you think Raees can be that first NonEDX 200cr earner in the history of indian cinema if the movie is more appreciated than Kabil after its release..?
A. It’s difficult for any film to cross 200 crore in a clash, even Bajirao Mastani with the biggest Christmas weekend and the advantage of extraordinary word-of-mouth – fell short of 190 crore. Even if it was a solo release, no trade analyst or someone who understands box office, would expect 200 crore from Raees. The family audience, who contribute hugely to the collections, won’t come to watch the film. The director and even the banner (Excel) is not known to make massy films. The only chance for Raees to cross 175 crore is if it turns out to be a hugely entertaining film and Kaabil becomes a rejected disaster.
Q. Do you think Rakesh Roshan is astutely playing the sympathy/victim card by passing such statements in the media about the “clash”?
A. We’ve all got to understand one thing. Filmmaking is a business and a lot of people are involved. It’s not only about Rakesh Roshan, but also his distributors. A ‘clash’ can affect the business of both films and both will be worried about recovering their investment. We stick to what we said earlier – it was stupid on the part of Raees makers to avoid one clash and take on another film. At the same time, this ‘superstitious’ bit from Rakesh Roshan sounds a little too – if he can change his date from 26th to 25th, why not release it a week earlier or later? There is a still quite a bit of time though, one film can still move.
Q. Congrats for accurate FBO prediction for Befikre. How is the WOM for the film?
A. Thanks. The word-of-mouth seems to be mixed, and possibly veering towards negative. It’ll be clear on Monday, but do wait for our final LBO (lifetime) prediction tomorrow.
Thank you for joining us today. A few more questions will be answered next week.
Who is the best khan between khan Trinity?
What are the chances of Raees of getting HIT status? What should be BO collection for same?
Also update same for Kaabil?
if 2.0 disappionts how much it will collect and if impresses what will it’s collection
@Mike, it doesn’t work that way. While Akshay is having success with these medium budget movies which appeal to certain section of multiplex audience, it does not mean he hasn’t done universal movies in recent history. Brothers, Boss, Khiladi 786, OUATIMD, Gabbar, Desi Boys, Action Replay, Patiala House, De Dana Dan were all universally appealing films, but none of them made profit. Even, films like Holiday was just a moderate success and not a huge hit. Only Rowdy Rathore was a big success. And, if you go little further back, he did big budget movies like Tashan, Blue, Kambakht Ishq with big banners, still he failed to deliver a hit. Brothers was recent example.
So, I don’t believe he’s underrated. He’s well rated, especially now when he’s started doing medium budget movies with good content which appeal to multiplex audience. He has done universal films, big films, but he hasn’t delivered a big hit apart from Rowdy Rathore. And, for him to do a big movie, he must win the trust of producer/director to offer him big movie, if they were offered to him, then why would he reject them anyway? And, after that, he must be ready to face big clashes if he wants to release them on EDX, as Khans will be releasing their films on those dates as well. Only Salman has managed to get solo Eid releases consistently. Others have had to face clashes more often than not.
How could you include dilwale collections to varun dhawan’s box office performances???During 2008 u used to rate taking somany factors like multistarrers,sequels etc…..but now only box office. .y???varun will slip below ranbir and ranveer if u take dilwale out of his kitty…..
any news about don 3 and dhoom 4?
Why do you dismiss the acheivements of greatest of superstars pre 1970s? surely Prithviraj kapoor, K l sehgal, Ashok kumar etc were biggest of superstars and undisputed number 1 for almost a decade each. not to mention Dilip Kumar who was king for 25 years.
Boxoffice data is available since 1940. yet you only count from Rajesh Khanna and Amitabh Bachchan. Else you shud also ignore these two and focus your lists on currently active stars only.
can badshaho cross 100 core?
has the postponed report of crack is confirmed by makers or it is still not confirmed?
hows the response to kaabil’s first song and whats are the possibility that kaabil will do more than raees!? also which trailor impressed u and response among public?
Ranbit is very good at rom-coms like he did in Apgk and bah…he is better than even varun whn it comes to slap comedy…do u think ranbir should do movies like apgk to win back single screen audience??
has the postponed news of crack movie is confirmed by makers or it is still not confirmed just romours?
ajey devgan was disappointed ? bcoz shivaay was box office failure.
jhon Abraham was a bankable star?
can u give your predictions about raees lifetime business collection in india only?could it cross 200 cr nett or not?
Why Befikre is uncut UA but Deadpool was rated adult even after almost all adult jokes, nudity, violence and profanity cut down? Is censor board biased?
Turnaround time between two shows Meaning?
How is the trade and audience response to the trailers of ‘Raees’ and ‘Kaabil’ ? Which film will is positioned to gain more if things remain the same till the release ?
have any idea, how much dangal budget?
do u think that srk is still bollywood king keeping in mind all aspects of industry such as awards,stardom,fan clubs,box office,oversease market value,richness .or salman has replaced him due to his outstanding success in box office( mostly in india as his movies’s oversease collection are similar to aamir and srk approximately).whether you choose a single name as king such as srk,salman or any other.or whether u will pick all three khan as kings of bwood industry.reply plz
Do u think Raees can collect 150 cr with clash?
And what is the virdict if the film do so?
Bashir
indinice fan from East Africa.
In future Is there any possibility that 3 Khan will come together in one movie..?
Where does Vidya Balan stand now after the performance of Kahaani 2?
Asking you again, please tell why was ‘Dulha mil gaya’ made ???
Do you think it was a mistake to name the movie as Kahaani 2 considering there was no continuity in storyline and they got unnecessarily burdened with expectations? Do you think just Durga Rani Singh would have been a better option?
I am biggest fan of your site your site and u are giving only true news which I appreciate you but I want to say only one thing please publish more than 5 news per day …
Thankyou
Dont you other actors have united against Hrithik to make him fail? first against md now against Kaabil.
Can Rajnikant do a bollywood movie and get 100 crores ( in the north )?
Here the News that , Raees is too Much Dark. Will it be enough Appeal To Get raees hit tag.
first day expectations of first day and FBO???