Before we begin the QnA, check out the results of the poll that we conducted on the site. You can still vote, if you haven’t already:
Loading ...Q. Raees is releasing on 25th January in the morning, but Kaabil will be evening shows (6pm). What will be the collections of Raees 1st day and Kaabil paid previews?
A. It’s not possible for Raees to release in the morning and Kaabil in the evening. Both films should eventually release in the morning itself, that’s how the exhibitors and distributors would like it to be. As for the collections on Day 1, it won’t be a holiday release, but more like a non-holiday Saturday release. The reason for releasing the film a day before the holiday is to take advantage of night shows. When the following day (in this case Republic Day) is a holiday, the night shows on the previous day usually tends to have higher occupancy. It’s exactly the reason why most multiplex films show growth on Saturday. We are expecting the two films combined to share around 30 crore, with Raees leading at this point in time.
Q. If Dangal gets Tax Free Status across India or in 5+ States, do you think Dangal can challenge PK’s lifetime Collection?
A. The central government doesn’t decide entertainment tax exemption, it comes under the state government. So even if the film gets tax free status in a couple of major states, it should benefit. It’ll obviously become easier for the film to reach PK, but that’s not a certainty because the word-of-mouth has to be extraordinary. Also, PK had several extra holidays, whereas Dangal doesn’t really get any advantage because both Christmas and New Year falls on Sunday this year.
Q. In the next year, which Hollywood films can be a threat to Bollywood?
A. The top picks would be Fast and Furious 8 and Spiderman Homecoming. Trailer of Spiderman below
Q. What’s your prediction on the combined collection of Raees and Kaabil?
A. It’s not a big weekend and the family audience may not come for both films. Ticket prices too, may not be at festive rates. So, from what we’ve seen so far, we expect both films to collect somewhere in the range of Rs 200 crore combined!
Q. What are the chances of SRK to be top again bcoz he is doing 5 movies back to back Raees, With Anushka(The Ring), The dwarf movie, Aditya Chopra’s next, Don 3. They look promising and have potential to rock box office?
A. For any actor to reach the top – three things are very important apart from stardom. One, the ability to get the big festive weekends (Eid, Christmas). Two, ensuring that your film gets a solo release. And three, the film has to be good and universally appealing. Raees fails on all three counts, The Ring has a better chance but romantic films shot overseas may not have the potential to cross 200. Don 3 will find it difficult too, unless they move away and make it commercial and massy. The best chance is with the Aanand L Rai film.
Also, unless the form of the Top 2 dips, SRK needs 2-3 major grossers to reclaim the top spot. Salman and Aamir have really upped the game in the last 6-7 years, making it almost impossible for anyone to touch them. At the domestic box office, there is currently a huge gap between those two and the rest.
Q. What is status of Shahid Kapoor in Bollywood with respect to box-office, crowd puller , star power in different parts of world , acting talent?
A. He scores a 10 in acting talent, but very little in the other three. Potential has always been there, but so many films with Vishal Bhardwaj can be disastrous for anyones career – from a box office point of view, of course.
Q. No poster or trailer for Commando 2 wasn’t it supposed to be the first 2017 release. Is it postponed or shelved.
A. Not shelved, but postponed to March 3rd 2017.
Q. Every where all started to predict Top 10 Movies of 2017.. So ur one of the most popular bollywood site in net..So whats which are the 10 films you expect to make it big in Box office next year?
A. We had already done an article on the most awaited films of 2017. Our official LBO prediction for 2017 is in the works, we have compiled data from several people from the trade. It should be out soon. Thanks for your interest.
Q. What has been the response to Raees trailer? And please tell me the biggest initial day crowdpullers of Hindi cinema CURRENTLY in domestic box office as well as overseas.
A. Response is good, detailed article on trade and audience response is being worked on. Biggest crowd-pullers domestic is Salman Khan, overseas Shah Rukh Khan.
Q. Approximate Screen counts for Raees and Kaabil. I know the question is bit early but requesting estimates based on the trailer response of both the movies.
A. Raees should get around 2700-2800 screens, while Kaabil might release on 2400-2500 screens.
Q. Since the trailer of Raees has received positive response from audience, its for sure that SRK starrer will take a much better opening than Kabil if both come since the morning shows…But do you think Raees can be that first NonEDX 200cr earner in the history of indian cinema if the movie is more appreciated than Kabil after its release..?
A. It’s difficult for any film to cross 200 crore in a clash, even Bajirao Mastani with the biggest Christmas weekend and the advantage of extraordinary word-of-mouth – fell short of 190 crore. Even if it was a solo release, no trade analyst or someone who understands box office, would expect 200 crore from Raees. The family audience, who contribute hugely to the collections, won’t come to watch the film. The director and even the banner (Excel) is not known to make massy films. The only chance for Raees to cross 175 crore is if it turns out to be a hugely entertaining film and Kaabil becomes a rejected disaster.
Q. Do you think Rakesh Roshan is astutely playing the sympathy/victim card by passing such statements in the media about the “clash”?
A. We’ve all got to understand one thing. Filmmaking is a business and a lot of people are involved. It’s not only about Rakesh Roshan, but also his distributors. A ‘clash’ can affect the business of both films and both will be worried about recovering their investment. We stick to what we said earlier – it was stupid on the part of Raees makers to avoid one clash and take on another film. At the same time, this ‘superstitious’ bit from Rakesh Roshan sounds a little too – if he can change his date from 26th to 25th, why not release it a week earlier or later? There is a still quite a bit of time though, one film can still move.
Q. Congrats for accurate FBO prediction for Befikre. How is the WOM for the film?
A. Thanks. The word-of-mouth seems to be mixed, and possibly veering towards negative. It’ll be clear on Monday, but do wait for our final LBO (lifetime) prediction tomorrow.
Thank you for joining us today. A few more questions will be answered next week.
If Jolly llb 2 will become Akshay Kumar’s highest grosser?
How would you rate Raees trailer on a scale of 1-5 ? Now that the trailer has received positive responses from both critics and public, does it have any chance to do a business of 120 Cr (Domestic) in its 5 days extended weekend?
After huge response to Raees trailer,i think srk & rakish roshan should talk to avoid clash?because it will be a huge lost to film industory.There is still alot of time remaining.What is your thought?
Any idea about which movie is releasing at the occasion of Eid 2018?
Don’t you think Dangal as an all time highest grosser even after the release of its title song video?
Is it possible for non-holiday release to cross 200 cr ever?
How far is the day when we will see huge grossers even without Holidays?
Can akshay kumar surpass 3 khans?
If he will give 3 to 4 super hits per year in future & never face flop?
RAEES subject of bootlegger, underworld, muslim community, anti-pakistani talent sentiment may not be good for patriotic Republic Day holiday weekend. Even if RAEES is full of masala and get excellent reviews, can cash crunch all over India sustain 2 big films clash and get one of them “blockbuster” status? Especially, that RAEES need to cross 200 Crores?
@indicine…. which is the most viewed article in recent times on this site….?
Which khan will dominate the most After 10 years, do u think new comer of recent will be able to surpass them?
It is quite clear from the promo that RAEES is targeted towards mass audiences of single screens. Which areas of the country has good good single screens and can it put up a big fat total, say abt 120 cr, with majority coming from single screens and average from multiplexes. (As the content does not seem to be multiplex freindly)?
Plz indicine post my all comments..
N0thing is wrong in my c0mments..
Thank you..
What will b lifetime colections of raees?
Will Crack be released next year or not?
As Indicine being a reliable source.. Want to know if Crack has actually been postponed ?
Which is the more important.Domestic box office collection or the overseas box office collection and why?Pls answer in detail as i am asking it for the fifth time.
Hello indicine I want to know about the upcoming movies which may goes above 350 cr in 2015-16/17 ? Plz ans indicine.
What happened with Indian movies released in China this year, were any of them hits?
Raees have superstar srk and also nawazuddin siddakki and kaabil have superstar hritik roshan. Both movie’s superstar have come with superflop movie FAN and Mohanla Daro. I think Raees and Kaabil both will superhit due to Trailer and Raees will cross 200cr mark except Kaabil. Have any chance to it’s true??
How is the response to Kaabil Hoon Song from Kaabil movie??
What will be impact of next songs on opening of the movie??
AS WE KNOW THAT FILM MAKING IS A BUSINESS… THEN IT SHOULD BE CLEAR THAT IF A PRODUCER IS INVESTING CERTAIN AMOUNT OF MOVIE AND IT RECOVERS IT AND MORE THEN ITS A PROFITABLE FILM.. THEN WHY DISTRIBUTORS INCOME IS TAKEN INTI CONSIDERATION WHILE GIVING IT A HIT STATUS?? IN SHORT MY PRODUCT SHOULD BE PROFITABLE AND THE DISTRIBUTOR CAN BE TERMED AS CINSUMER RATHER THEN A PARTNER.. JUSTIFY THIS?
Plsss answer me this time, ive asked it many times before..
is it true tht srk is unhappy with the final outcome of raees.??
Has the film not shaped up well..??
whats your take on ormax media rankings ?
What is predication jolly llb 2 opening day collection
Who is a better director SLB or ASHUTOSH GOWARIKAR according to their carreer graph.Ashutosh GOWARIKAR has directed 8 movies till date out of which 5 are flops or disasters. Though his Lagaan was nominated for oscars the biggest mistake in it was that the stotry was of gujrat but all were speaking bhojpuri language in the film.Even a film like Swades was a remake of a Kannada movie.Do we cant give the crefid to GOWARIKAR.On the othet hand SLB has only 2 flops in his carrier out of 8 and directed films like Black Guzarish Devdas Bajirao Mastani.Your reviews pls.
What is your view about Raees trailer??
Potential box office collection for both Raees and Kaabil??
Who were the most popular music directors of the 80s with the most number of hit songs?
For me its Bappi Lahiri, LP & RD Burman in that order.
Who is a better director SLB or ASHUTOSH GOWARIKAR according to their carreer graph.Ashutosh GOWARIKAR has directed 8 movies till date out of which 5 are flops or disasters. Though his Lagaan was nominated for oscars the biggest mistake in it was that the stotry was of gujrat but all were speaking bhojpuri language in the film.Even a film like Swades was a remake of a Kannada movie.So we cant give the whole credit to GOWARIKAR.On the othet hand SLB has only 2 flops in his carrier out of 8 and directed films like Black Guzarish Devdas Bajirao Mastani.Your reviews pls.
Just curious to know how do you guys estimate the buzz of a film. Last time you said Dangal does not have the buzz of an event film. Some tv channels claim that Dangal has 100% buzz. So how does this work, estimating a film’s buzz etc?
Do you think if jolly llb2 finds appreciation,it can be that akshay kumar film that will go on to be a huge grosser as even the common people are gonna relate to it??