Can Dilwale – Bajirao Mastani clash be averted?

Note: We won’t be conducting a QnA session next Sunday, so the next one (after today’s session) would be on December 20 i.e after the release of Dilwale and Bajirao Mastani.

QnA-1

Q. Is there still any chance of averting clash between Dilwale and Bajirao Mastani? – Danish Gani

A. Not anymore. If either of the two producers were keen on averting the clash, they would have done so by now. Theatres have been booked and with less than 12 days to go, the clash is on. Both Dilwale and Bajirao Mastani will release on 18th December.

Q. After Tamasha’s Underperformance at the box office can we say Akshay and Ajay are now ahead of Ranbir Kapoor in terms of Stardom? – Ankit

A. As things stand today, Ranbir has fallen behind Varun Dhawan. Even Ranveer Singh could sneak ahead of him if Bajirao Mastani can stand up to the might of Dilwale. The big difference between stars like Akshay Kumar, Ajay Devgn and others like Ranbir Kapoor, is the fan-following that the veteran actors command at smaller centres. It takes years of hard work to gain following at mass centres and the audience in these centres are more ‘faithful’ to their stars – provided they do films that are more commercial. A film like ‘Baby’ won’t garner any interest with Akshay’s core fan base, but when he does ‘Gabbar Is Back’, they come in big numbers. So for stars like Akshay, Ajay, Salman and other superstars, it’s more about balancing the genre to appeal to both masses and city audience.

At major cities, the so-called ‘class’ audience are more willing to wait for the response / word-of-mouth to be out, before booking tickets. If the trailer is not liked, even a Imtiaz Ali film starring Ranbir – Deepika doesn’t get a good initial. Also, the word-of-mouth tends to spread faster at bigger cities, which is why there are noticeably drops in the first weekend itself – example Shaandaar, Besharam. Whereas a mass-appealing film can sustain over the weekend and even hold up during the weekdays – e.g Himmatwala.

Meanwhile, we will be updating the ‘Top 15 Actors in India‘ article very soon. It was last updated in August.

Q. In case of Dilwale – Bajirao Mastani clash, can footfalls lost during weekend be made up during the week? Assume Dilwale gets 3 idiots WOM and has potential for 350 cr. So shouldn’t it get that amount even in clash, irrespective of how Bajirao Mastani does? Say 100 people would have watched Dilwale in solo release. Wouldn’t the same 100 see Dilwale even in clash? If footfalls are not made up the mark, what’s the reason? – KRK

A. Achieving 3 Idiots, PK, Bajrangi Bhaijaan word-of-mouth is a dream that very very few films achieve. Films that have been universally liked by every section of the audience are few and far in between. In recent times, most of those films have been directed by Rajkumar Hirani. So expecting Rohit Shetty to pull off a classic, that too from the kind of trailer that we have seen.. is a highly unrealistic expectation to have. Yes, Dilwale can be a wholesome entertainer and if the film is liked by the audience, it could make a huge impact on the business of Bajirao Mastani. As for footfalls, we have said this many times before, not everyone can afford to watch two movies in theatres, that too in the same weekend. So business will definitely be divided.

Also, Bajirao Mastani might be a smaller film in comparison, but it most certainly cannot be written off. Sanjay Leela Bhansali has suffered because of Shah Rukh Khan’s Om Shanti Om in the past, so he would be well aware of the consequences. The fact that he is willing to take him on again, has given the trade a feeling that he is supremely confident of his product.

Continue Reading and Vote: Top 10 Most Awaited 2016 films in Bollywood?

Part 3: Most Successful Actor – Director duo in Bollywood

Part 4: 2015 has belonged to which actor?

Part 5: Screen count of Dilwale and Bajirao Mastani and 13 other questions answered

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258 Comments

  • If Dilwale fails to collect its production cost and declared Average/Above Average film than how could it affects SRK Career and upcoming movies?

  • Salman ji ka court ka decision kab ayega aur unhe saja 2016 mai ho skti hai kya ? Because yai decision toh high court ka hai na ki sc ka. 1993 mai court nai sanjay dutt ko mumbai blast kai bare mai saja sunai thi magar jail vha 2013 mai gaye the yani 20 years ka bad toh kya salman sir bhi 10 – 20 sal khich payenge kya please is bare mai kuch btaye

  • Off topic:

    Will you guys be creating the user accounts option after dilwale so that the moderation speed of comments increases?

  • First of all indicine why won’t you conduct this session next Sunday?And what do you think if Akshay kumar releases one movie a year on big festival how big can the movie collect with proper buzz?

  • Good reply indicine to that floppy i would like to extend your answer that akki earns more in one movie and akki’s watchman earns more than this floppy’s lifetime earnings in a month..such a crap this @floppy is never makes a sensible comment..

  • Indian government started sponsoring national awards from which year? , who was the first Actor to win the award?, and what’s the criteria of judgment for an actor to win the national award?

  • How would you determine the influence of a clash with regards to lifetime collections (in terms of percent)? How much would Dilwale need to collect to be equivalent of BB or PK with keeping clash in mind.

  • What will be the Combined 1st day Total
    of Bajirao & Dilwale &
    how Much #Dilwale Need to Get a Blockbuster Verdict ?

  • In future, Bollywood any actor can give 300,400&500cr collection in domestic (except three Khan, Hrithik, akshay & Ajay)?

  • Indicine@ I’m asking you again, Is there any possibility of Dilwale to touch 300cr with extremely positive word-of-mouth????

  • Screen Count of Dilwale & BM plsss… (confirmed screens plus expected total numbers on 18th dec)… Love You Indicine…

  • only 12 days to go for epic clash of the decade ..no one still posting on the exact screen space for ‘Dilwale and bajirao mastani..expecting from you can you tell extact screen distribution?? how territorial business can lead ony one film from both??

  • Why salman khan’s movie didn’t work at box office this time we were expecting more than 250 crore and the movie even wasn’t able to cross 200 crore.Why did this happen, wasnt it a good and entertaining movie?

  • If SRK Breaks Longest Streak Of Hit movies 15 or 16, Will he should be Declared biggest superstar of All Time? Salman also nearing that numbers but he has 49 flops

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