Housefull 3 is the biggest ‘universally appealing’ Hindi film release of the year so far. It has almost every factor in its favour, with ‘content’ being the only factor that needs to fall in place for the film to do well at the box office.
Factors in favour of the film:
- Franchise: Sequels to popular franchise films – especially those that do well on television – have always opened well at the box office. The opening of Singham Returns, Dhoom 3, Krrish 3, Dabangg 2, Welcome Back and Housefull 2 all ranged from good to earth-shattering. A good opening is the least that’s expected out of such films, with other factors like popularity of the franchise, director helming the sequel and presence of major superstars - all contributing in raking in bigger numbers on Day 1.
- Akshay Kumar: Not too long ago, Akshay films weren’t working at multiplexes – but the success of Airlift has turned things around for the superstar. Housefull 3 is expected to open well both at multiplexes and single-screens.
- Strong supporting cast: Apart from Akshay, the film also has Riteish Deshmukh (loved in comedy films) and Abhishek Bachchan (a good actor who does add value to multi-starrer films). Housefull 3 also has Jacqueline, Nargis, Lisa, Boman, Johnny Lever and Chunkey Pandey – some of these actors were loved in the previous Housefull films.
- Post IPL period: In an article published earlier today (read), we had highlighted that the period that falls just after the conclusion of IPL is probably the 4th most lucrative period to release films after Christmas, Eid and Diwali.
Factors against Housefull 3:
- Response to Trailer, music album, dialogue promos has been mixed. The last film in the franchise ‘Housefull 2’ had quite a few popular songs like Papa Toh Band Bajaye, Anarkali Disco Chali and a few others. Here we have ‘Pyar Ki’ which has done fairly well, but that’s about it as far as the music is concerned.
- Director: Sajid Khan, who directed Housefull 1 and 2, is out. The ‘Entertainment’ director-duo of Sajid-Farhad helm the third film in the franchise. The audience will be aware of this, but it could well work in favour of the film because Sajid Khan’s last two films faced complete rejection.
- Content: Not for nothing do they call content the king. Even biggies like ‘FAN’ have been rejected this year and all films that have performed well at multiplexes – have had good word-of-mouth. It’s going to be the most important factor even on Day 1 as multiplexes business tend to show upward trend as early as afternoon shows on Friday.
2016 records that Housefull 3 will be targeting (Hindi films only):
- First Day: FAN (19.2 crore)
- Highest Single Day: FAN (1st Day, Friday, 19.2 crore)
- Highest Non-Holiday Single Day: FAN (2nd Day, Saturday, 15.4 crore)
- Highest First Weekend: FAN (52.35 crore)
- Highest First Week: Airlift (83.5 crore)
- Highest Second Weekend: Airlift (19.26 crore)
- Highest Second Week: Airlift (28.79 crore)
- Highest Lifetime: Airlift (128 crore)
IndicineFBO: We expect ‘Housefull 3’ to collect Rs 17.4 crore on Day 1 at the box office.
Movie | Prediction | Official | |
Wazir | 4.4 | 5.61 | + 27%, In accurate |
Airlift | 10.9 | 12.35 | + 13%, Accurate |
Kya Kool Hai Hum 3 | 9.3 | 8.15 | - 12%, Accurate |
Mastizaade | 6.1 | 5.59 | - 8%, Accurate |
Saala Khadoos | 2.2 | 2.19 | 0%, Accurate |
Ghayal Once Again | 6.4 | 7.2 | + 12%, Accurate |
Sanam Re | 5.5 | 5.04 | - 8%, Accurate |
Fitoor | 5.2 | 3.61 | - 30%, Inaccurate |
Neerja | 4.3 | 4.7 | + 8%, Accurate |
Jai Gangajaal | 5.2 | 5.5 | + 6%, Accurate |
Kapoor & Sons | 5.8 | 6.85 | + 18%, Inaccurate |
Rocky Handsome | 6.3 | 5.39 | - 14%, Accurate |
Ki and Ka | 6.3 | 7.27 | + 16%, Inaccurate |
Fan | 21.9 | 19.2 | - 12%, Accurate |
Baaghi | 9.4 | 11.94 | + 27%, Inaccurate |
Azhar | 7.5 | 6.3 | - 16%, Inaccurate |
Sarbjit | 4.2 | 3.69 | - 12%, Accurate |
Housefull 3 | 17.4 | 15.21 | - 12%, Accurate |
Udta Punjab | 8.9 | 10.05 | - 13%, Accurate |
Sultan | 38.5 | 36.54 | - 5%, Accurate |
Great Grand Masti | 5.8 | 2.5 | - 56%, Inaccurate |
Dishoom | 9.8 | 11.02 | +12%, Accurate |
Mohenjo Daro | 10.7 | 8.87 | - 17%, Inaccurate |
Rustom | 12.6 | 14.11 | +12%, Accurate |
Happy Bhaag Jayegi | 2.1 | 2.32 | +10%, Accurate |
A Flying Jatt | 8.5 | 7.11 | - 16%, Inaccurate |
Baar Baar Dekho | 9.1 | 6.81 | - 25%, Inaccurate |
Freaky Ali | 2.4 | 2.5 | +4%, Accurate |
Pink | 4.5 | 4.32 | -4%, Accurate |
Raaz Reboot | 5.2 | 6.31 | + 21%, Inaccurate |
MS Dhoni | 20.1 | 21.6 | +7%, Accurate |
Mirzya | 4.0 | 2.2 | - 45%, Inaccurate |
Shivaay | 10.7 | 10.24 | -4%, Accurate |
ADHM | 12.4 | 13.3 | +7%, Accurate |
Force 2 | 5.8 | 6.05 | +4%, Accurate |
Dear Zindagi | 9.7 | 8.75 | -10%, Accurate |
Kahaani 2 | 4.5 | 4.25 | -5%, Accurate |
Befikre | 10.5 | 10.36 | -1%, Accurate |
Dangal | 28.6 | 29.78 | +4%, Accurate |
Detailed Box Office Prediction Housefull 3
IF VERY GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)
- Day 1 – 19 cr
- Day 2 – 21 cr
- Day 3 – 25 cr
- Weekend – 65 cr
- First Week – 105 cr
- Final – 175 cr+ (Super Hit / Blockbuster)
IF AVERAGE (mixed response)
- Day 1 – 18 cr
- Day 2 – 19 cr
- Day 3 – 21 cr
- Weekend - 58 cr
- First Week – 85 cr
- Final – 120 cr (Hit)
IF BAD (worst case scenario)
- Day 1 – 17 cr
- Day 2 – 15 cr
- Day 3 – 16 cr
- Weekend – 48 cr
- First Week – 65 cr
- Lifetime – 80 cr (Flop)
There was a time, not too long ago, when we avoided factoring in word-of-mouth on Day 1. But that’s no longer the case. The difference between good / mixed / negative word-of-mouth could well be 2-3 crore on Friday itself.
How much do *you* think Housefull 3 will collect on Friday? Vote!
![Loading ... Loading ...](https://www.indicine.com/wp-content/plugins/wp-polls/images/loading.gif)
Best of luck to all akkians.
Abki bar Rowdy Rathore par
your prediction will turn wrong…
It has to beat FAN..it has to open above 20 crore .no questions asked,no excuses given!
anything above 16cr is ok for me coz of non holiday,average trailer, and extremely poor music. hope it does well there is alot of negativity on twitter especially copycat Bollywood arena(mainly indicine) comparing it to humshakals.
I think it will do 16.5 crs on Day 1.
Housefull 1 was average
Housefull 2 was very good & entertaining.
I think Housefull 3 will have mixed WOM.
IT will be huge in single screens but multiplexes business can suffer.
Summer vacations is a big plus for this movie.
In my opinion – Weekend – 50 crs.
Week 1 – 73 crs.
Lifetime – 100 to 105 crs.
@indicine team, I’m surprise by seeing your prediction only 17.4cr. I hope it cross 20cr over. Best of luck Akki sir…!
I think that it will do 20 crores on Day 1.
If welcome back can do 14 crores on day 1 with flop star like John than Housefull 3 should do atleast 20 crores because it has superstar Akshay, lets hope for the best.
AKSHAY KUMAR IS GOING TO RULE BOXOFFICE THIS YEAR WITH HIS VERSATILITY…..
Tomorrow is the day for Akshay fans
expecting my prediction (Full prediction : https://t.co/mRnYNKsMuv) will be fail this time and will touch 200 Cr and if somehow not then the target is for Hrithik’s MOHENJO DARO
go and watch biggest Hit HOUSEFUL 3
Akshay + Riteish + Abhishek is a solid combo for a comedy movie like HF3. Hoping the movie proves to be a big hit for Akshay. He is outstanding when it comes to comic roles.
First day collections I am expecting in the range of 17 to 20 cr.
Best wishes for the movie.
Super Houseful tomorrow
First day collection would be around 16 to 18 crore….then will depend on word of mouth….but I don’t think this film is good so max lifetime 90 crore ..looking like another humshakals, himmatwaala …overall verdict would be flop to below average maximum….
why it cnt cross FAN first day ???
akki coming after superhit AIRLIFT
post IPL is best period after EDX
sequel of a superhit film
a superhit franchise
better music
big and multi starrer Akki+Ritesh+abhishek+jacky
highly commercial movie…
These all factors were missing from FAN then why Housefull3 can’t cross FAN opening ???
stardom factor ???
Houseful 3 is getting a month free time to put huge numbers at box-office. Because gap between two big films houseful3 and sultan are huge. So It may cross 190cr in lifetime.
But prediction should be more than 150cr+ in lifetime. May it break akki’s last big hit Rowdy Rathore
100% sure it will be average!
will do around 18-20cr!! baki finger crossed
I think it can collect around 19-20crs. Sequels can surprise on day1.
Still 17.4crs won’t be bad if the WOM is positive. Let’s see.
It will be a crappy film.. Lifetime: 70-110 crores depending on how bad the WOM will be!
PS: I have nothing against Akki!
20 to 24 cr 1st day collection
#Blockbuster Housefull3 :)
141 cr max
I think WOM will be average, so I expect something 17-18 cr. Anything below would be gigantic. To be honest, I don’t think this film has potential to score well post its 1st weekend so it has to benefit from its opening… I don’t think H3 will beat Airlift even though it may cross 100 cr.
if WOM turns out little good then none can stop this movie from touching 200 cr
1. Slap stick comedy is crapy genre 2. It is out of fashion since 2012 3. Music is big big let down so I don’t see House full 3 grossing much beyond 80 Crore. Udda Punjab is the best release for the June 2016 bcoz 1. it has good cast 2. great music 3. content rich 4. message based movie 5 Trailer was also great.
Lol, “content is king”? Is why Baaghi was a hit? Lol.
@Bhai.. the single-screen audience loved Baaghi, so for them the content was good. A single opinion doesn’t decide of a film is good or bad. Having ‘content’ like Phobia or Waiting is of no use if the audience doesn’t want to watch it.
@Zuheeb : Even though SRK is in a bad phase with Dilwale & Fan, Akshay can’t be compared to him in terms of stardom. I’m not a hater, I loved Airlift, Special 26 and many Akshay films, but the fact is that one of SRK’s most hated film (Dilwale) is still a higher grosser than Akshay’s biggest hit till date (Rowdy Rathore).
Let’s see can it challenge opening day collections of Ram navami holiday release content rich billu2!!!
@indicine sultan 32.4cr opening kahi misprint toh nahi hai
Housefull 3 will touch definitely >150 crores…..
@indicine
If criteria for content is being liked by the audience, then Dabangg2, Happy New Year, Ready etc all had great content.
i think total collection will be around 170-190 that can do it blckbster