Can Sultan cross 300 crore?

Q. Is there any chance for Sultan to cross 300 crore if it clashes with Raees?

A. 300 crore has been achieved only twice and both films not only had fantastic release dates, but also carried extraordinary word-of-mouth. When two equally big film like ‘Raees’ and ‘Sultan’ clash, then even the 250 crore mark would be difficult to surpass, unless one film is completely rejected. It all boils down to the film that’s better liked by the audience. Star power, trailer and every other factor would pretty much be insignificant after the first day. The Genre factor could come into play if both films receive a mixed response.

Q. You have extensively and regularly highlighted Salman’s “depressingly low times”. Can you remind me when were these “depressing low times”? The only time I remember before he (or any other Khan becomes stars) was perhaps 2006 and 2008. He had a Partner in 2007 and Wanted in 2009. In 2006 and 2008 also, other than Jaan-e-mann (in my opinion one of his better movies) and Yuvraaj, he only had guest appearances or his releases were long delayed movies. Yes, he had multiple multiple movies in a year but he didn’t really have a bad year other than 2006 or 2008 (which I explained above).

A. Salman was down and out for most part of last decade. Between 2000 and Wanted in 2009 (which was the beginning of his 2nd innings in the industry), Salman did 25 plus films and most of them didn’t work at the box office. Films that worked (hit or better) were Baghban (special appearance), Mujhse Shaadi Karogi (also starring Akshay Kumar), Maine Pyar Kyun Kiya, No Entry and Partner. The big point to be noted here is all (except Baghban) were comedy films, which released during a time when the genre was super-popular and almost everything that made people laugh worked. Also, 3 of those 4 films were directed by David Dhawan.

‘Depressingly low’ because many of his solo films didn’t even get a face-saving opening at the box office. Shaadi Karke Phas Gaya, Marigold, Kyon Ki, God Tussi Great Ho, Dil Ne Jise Apna Kahaa and a few more were washouts. Salman himself wasn’t taking his career seriously and was wasting his talent and fan-following by working in sub-standard films – most of them signed as favours to his friends in the industry. He always had fans, it’s just that when he became more focused and started doing films for them, they came out in big numbers.

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99 Comments

  • Indicine..this 3rd time am asking you question. please compare Current singers to legendary Rafi saab and lata ji/usha ji…pls

  • He always had fans, it’s just that when he became more focused and started doing films for them, they came out in big numbers.
    superb line @indicine

  • My prediction of Bollywood movies 2016(in Bracket opening day collection)
    Airlift 128*
    Neerja 73*
    Jai gangajal 34 (6.2)*
    Kapoor and Sons 43(7.55)
    Rocky handsome 48 (5.85)
    Ki and Ka 43(6)
    Fan 187(22.5)
    Baaghi 62(8.3)
    Azhar 52 (5)
    Sarabjit 29 (4.2)
    Great Grand Masti 109(i think it will be a solo release)(15.5)
    Houseful 3 173(25.5)
    Udtha Punjab 47(7.10)
    Dishoom 107(16)
    Jagga jasoos 68 (7.8)
    Rustom 90(solo)(10)69(clash with Mohenjodaro)(6.5)
    *Mohenjodaro 220(solo)(27)(expecting positive response by the audience it has chance for 250cr)
    *Mohenjodaro178(clash with Rustom)(22.5)
    A Flying Jatt 78(9)
    Dhoni 85(10)
    Baar baar dekho 39(5.8)
    Raaz Reboot 78(11.5)
    Rangoon 74(8.2)
    Commando 2 32(5.5)
    Shivaay 163(22)
    ADHM 122 (16.5)
    Rock on 2 47 (8)
    Force 2 51(6.2)
    Befikre 126(16)

    #Raees (expecting a positive response from audience nd critics)(30cr opening on a normal day)
    *315(eid)-if there is no protests nd the content is extremely gud then 350 is also possible
    *235(solo non festive release)(30)
    *255(if Raees nd Sulthan released in 1 or 2 weeks gap)
    *220(clash with Sulthan)

    #SULTHAN(expecting a mixed to positive word of mouth)(33cr opening on a normal day)
    278(eid)-every one know that Sallu is the ultimate sulthan of the boxoffice now but i think it willnot get great response like BAJRANGI BHAIJAAN.
    215(If released with Raees in a gap of 1 or 2 weeks)
    190(if solo non festive release)(33)
    187(clash with Raees)

    #Dangal(expecting highly positivereviews)
    *320(solo xmas)(26cr opening ona normal day)
    I reminds u all dat i predicted it all by assuming d audience response nd if the response have any difference then there also will be huge difference in the collection especially in d case of SULTHAN and RAEES. If SULTHAN got the great response by audience nd critics then my prediction is a HUGE 355cr on Solo eid release.

  • @ indicine- acording to my calculation salman was only 1 time no.6 in last decade in current superstars salman, amir, ajay, akshay srk so i don’t think it was that bad.

  • salman fans for 9 yrs(2000-2009) were hiding cause if they had supported him in those time then police would arrest them as supporting criminal is criminal act….n after having 9+ year depressing carer how can he be compare with king khan…he was nearly forgoten khan

  • @indicine which do u think will be content oriented
    sultan or raees?
    which movie have more buzz now?

  • which actor have most fan following?
    as salman khan movies are mostly hit on single screen whereas amir and srk are mostly watched in multiplex

  • @indicine despite such a low career in 2000 why he was casted in lead than akshay in jaan-e-maan and mujse sadhi karogi???
    i think akshay was ahead of salman khan

  • Why not Censer board Banned movies like Ram teri ganga maili, Mera naam joker when these have nude scene?
    & now cut cut?

  • 2nd question answer is alright.but cant deny the fact that he was ,is and will be the biggest megastar of the country.
    if a film works thats nt only for the lead actor ,but for good promotion,banner,good director,music,co stars a lots of things have to be best.

  • Highly illogical and stupid answer by indicine that most of the film was comedy and 3 of them was directed by david dhavan sooo wat….
    Srk most of the film was bigggest banner of india yrf….

  • 300 cr is almost impossible in such a clash. In a huge clash like Raees vs Sultan I feel it will be extra ordinary even if either movie can touch 250 cr let alone 300cr.

    Good analysis in the 2nd question.

  • cant agree with bb release date is very good cause eid holidays fell on sat n sunday.apart from eid no holidays,heavy rains in first week in.most parts of india,competition from bahubali,drishyam which have also excellent WOM.

  • Starring lead as Salman only some movie actully 5 to 6 were flops which are mentioned neither the movie has anuthing good nor the people are aware of when those movies are released and out from theatres.other 10-11 are nt Salman movies lyk mamk,hello,heroes,sawriya,yuvraj etc.

  • These predictions are just words of mouth..what matters is the REALITY when raaes and sultan release to decide the FBO! So it’s better to wait and watch Guyz! Anyways good predictions from #teamindicine…

  • To get 300 cr you have to got support from family audiences which gives a long run .but neither sultan nor raees have the potential to attract family audiences.Sultan will open huge thats the reason it may reach 200cr due to 5 days long weekend.Cant say anything about Raees ,it have to be a good movie to compete with sultan.

  • So salman khan hit a rough patch in bween 2000-2009! Just bcoz he ws the numero uno star in the 90’s, so yes according to his standards he dipped! Even if u consider in those 9 years, he churned out ‘successful films’ like har dil jo pyar karega, chori chori chupke chupke, dulhan hum le jayenge, maine pyar kyu kia, tere naam, mujhse shadi karogi, no entry, partner, wanted! Leave out baghban as it was a special appearance right?! Even movies like garv, lucky was released to packed houses!! And yeah if u including movies like heroes, baabul, saawan, hello in salman movies then yes do add dulha mil gaya, krazzy 4, silsilay, hey ram etc in srk movies!! And if u dwell in the past then talk about salman records, those r much more and bigger and better than his failures! *period

  • There is no slightest doubt that it will cross 300 Crores if it gets a solo release. It looks like another content rich commercial film like BB..

  • (2000-2009) 9 semihits/hits in 9 years! Not bad! Hardly 1-2 actors had more hits than him! Even his avg/below avg grossers released to packed houses which signifies his star power!!
    Actually all such articles meant to create a tiff bween salman-srk fans! So indicine trying to be smart here! Well peopl commenting here should ‘act’ sensible!!

  • No… Never forget 300… loltan will not collect more than 150 cr… Raees will badly crush crap lallu loltan…
    My prediction for both movies with clash –
    Raees : 255 cr…
    Loltan : 148 cr…
    And Also Fan will give more buzz to Raees…
    This year will be biggest year for Srk… Expecting 2 masterpiece from king khan…
    And Also this year will be end of south remake disaster lallu khan & Fan less stardom less Aamir khan….
    Eagerly waiting for Fan… 34 days left…
    Duniya ka Sabse bada superstar ka sabse bada Fan
    #Fasal kerala

  • Can Akshay Kumar career be said to have resemblance with Jeetendra? Apart from few movies both of their successful films of them are multicasts.

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